Tue, Nov 4 2025 • 18:30 • Barranca Quilmena stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.29 (league 1.11) 1.03 (league 0.85)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
42.0% 27.9% 29.8%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.1%
1 - 0
12.6%
0 - 1
10.2%
Score & goals probability table
Argentino de Merlo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Argentino Quilmes 0 9.8% 10.2% 5.3% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
1 12.6% 13.1% 6.8% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
2 8.1% 8.4% 4.3% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 3.5% 3.6% 1.9% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.1% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricArgentino QuilmesArgentino de Merlo
Played55
Form13%60%
Attack27%60%
Defense47%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.89 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.65 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Argentino Quilmes Argentino de Merlo
HATHAT
Played181937191938
Wins33%16%24%47%37%42%
Draws56%26%41%26%26%26%
Loses11%58%35%26%37%32%

Form: Argentino Quilmes: WLDDWDWLDLDWDDWDLLDLWDLDLDDWLWWLLDLDL • Argentino de Merlo: LDLDDLWWLWWDDWLWWWWWLWLDDLLWDDLDWWLWLW

League goals

Metric Argentino Quilmes Argentino de Merlo
HATHAT
GF total231942272148
GF avg1.31.01.11.41.11.3
GA total153449162137
GA avg0.81.81.30.81.11.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineArgentino QuilmesArgentino de Merlo
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.568%76%68%66%
1.541%35%39%26%
2.55%16%13%5%
3.50%3%3%0%
4.50%3%3%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricArgentino QuilmesArgentino de Merlo
HATHAT
Clean sheets7296713
Failed to score57124812

Penalties

MetricArgentino QuilmesArgentino de Merlo
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total34

Streaks

MetricArgentino QuilmesArgentino de Merlo
Wins25
Draws22
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-25-11-3
Biggest losses0-25-20-23-0
Goals For3253
Goals Against3523

Model comparison

MetricArgentino QuilmesArgentino de Merlo
Form18%82%
Att31%69%
Def38%62%
Poisson Distribution54%46%
H2h80%20%
Goals73%27%
Total49.0%51.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Argentino de Merlo

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.74 @ Pinnacle
Draw2.80 @ Unibet
Away2.87 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.87 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.50 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.25 @ Superbet
No1.68 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Argentino Quilmes = 1.29 (league 1.11), Argentino de Merlo = 1.03 (league 0.85)

Argentino de Merlo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Argentino Quilmes 0 9.8% 10.2% 5.3% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
1 12.6% 13.1% 6.8% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
2 8.1% 8.4% 4.3% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 3.5% 3.6% 1.9% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.1% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 42.0% · Draw 27.9% · Away win 29.8%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1