J3 League — Japan
Fri, Oct 24 2025 • 10:00 • Hanazono Rugby Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.42 (league 1.40) 0.57 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
57.5% 27.2% 15.0%
best score tips
1 - 0
19.4%
2 - 0
13.7%
0 - 0
13.7%
Score & goals probability table
Tochigi SC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Osaka 0 13.7% 7.8% 2.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 19.4% 11.1% 3.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.7% 7.9% 2.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 6.5% 3.7% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.3% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricOsakaTochigi SC
Played55
Form67%47%
Attack50%38%
Defense63%69%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.66 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

63%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Osaka Tochigi SC
HATHAT
Played161632161632
Wins69%38%53%50%31%41%
Draws19%25%22%13%31%22%
Loses13%38%25%38%38%38%

Form: Osaka: DWWWLWWLWWLWWWWDWDDDLWLDLLWLDWWW • Tochigi SC: WLLDWLDLWLDWDWLDLWLLLWWWDWWWDLWL

League goals

Metric Osaka Tochigi SC
HATHAT
GF total291746191332
GF avg1.81.11.41.20.81.0
GA total131629141731
GA avg0.81.00.90.91.11.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineOsakaTochigi SC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%63%69%63%
1.534%22%16%28%
2.519%6%13%3%
3.56%0%3%3%
4.53%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricOsakaTochigi SC
HATHAT
Clean sheets84125712
Failed to score3584610

Penalties

MetricOsakaTochigi SC
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricOsakaTochigi SC
Wins43
Draws31
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins7-10-34-12-3
Biggest losses0-32-01-24-1
Goals For7343
Goals Against3224

Model comparison

MetricOsakaTochigi SC
Form59%41%
Att57%43%
Def45%55%
Poisson Distribution69%31%
H2h0%100%
Goals0%100%
Total57.5%42.5%

Advice: Double chance : Osaka or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.34 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.35 @ Superbet
Away4.00 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.30 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.73 @ Superbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.02 @ Pinnacle
No1.87 @ Superbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Osaka = 1.42 (league 1.40), Tochigi SC = 0.57 (league 1.12)

Tochigi SC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Osaka 0 13.7% 7.8% 2.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 19.4% 11.1% 3.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.7% 7.9% 2.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 6.5% 3.7% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.3% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 57.5% · Draw 27.2% · Away win 15.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1