Superliga — Denmark
Fri, Oct 24 2025 • 17:00 • New Vejlby Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.13 (league 1.75) 0.93 (league 1.51)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
62.9% 19.7% 15.2%
best score tips
2 - 0
10.7%
1 - 0
10.0%
2 - 1
9.9%
Score & goals probability table
FC Nordsjaelland
0 1 2 3 4 5
Aarhus 0 4.7% 4.3% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 10.0% 9.3% 4.3% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.7% 9.9% 4.6% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 7.6% 7.0% 3.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
4 4.1% 3.7% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.7% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAarhusFC Nordsjaelland
Played55
Form87%60%
Attack58%32%
Defense68%74%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

92%
FT probability

2.5+

65%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Aarhus FC Nordsjaelland
HATHAT
Played66126612
Wins67%67%67%50%50%50%
Draws17%33%25%0%0%0%
Loses17%0%8%50%50%50%

Form: Aarhus: DLDWWWWWWWWD • FC Nordsjaelland: WLLLLWWWLLWW

League goals

Metric Aarhus FC Nordsjaelland
HATHAT
GF total10162651217
GF avg1.72.72.20.82.01.4
GA total491361319
GA avg0.71.51.11.02.21.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAarhusFC Nordsjaelland
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.592%75%83%67%
1.558%25%42%50%
2.542%8%17%33%
3.517%0%0%8%
4.58%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAarhusFC Nordsjaelland
HATHAT
Clean sheets303314
Failed to score101112

Penalties

MetricAarhusFC Nordsjaelland
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total30

Streaks

MetricAarhusFC Nordsjaelland
Wins83
Draws10
Losses14

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-11-51-00-3
Biggest losses1-2—1-33-0
Goals For4513
Goals Against2334

Model comparison

MetricAarhusFC Nordsjaelland
Form59%41%
Att65%35%
Def45%55%
Poisson Distribution70%30%
H2h60%40%
Goals57%43%
Total59.3%40.7%

Advice: Double chance : Aarhus or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.82 @ Superbet
Draw4.11 @ Pinnacle
Away4.53 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.62 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.39 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.65 @ 188Bet
No2.44 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Aarhus = 2.13 (league 1.75), FC Nordsjaelland = 0.93 (league 1.51)

FC Nordsjaelland
0 1 2 3 4 5
Aarhus 0 4.7% 4.3% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 10.0% 9.3% 4.3% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.7% 9.9% 4.6% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 7.6% 7.0% 3.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
4 4.1% 3.7% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.7% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 62.9% · Draw 19.7% · Away win 15.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1