Fri, Oct 24 2025 • 18:00 • GS Staalwerken Stadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.88 (league 1.80) 1.36 (league 1.33)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
48.6% 22.4% 27.4%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.0%
2 - 1
9.4%
1 - 0
7.4%
Dordrecht
0 1 2 3 4 5
Helmond Sport 0 3.9% 5.3% 3.6% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%
1 7.4% 10.0% 6.8% 3.1% 1.0% 0.3%
2 6.9% 9.4% 6.4% 2.9% 1.0% 0.3%
3 4.4% 5.9% 4.0% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2%
4 2.1% 2.8% 1.9% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.8% 1.1% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHelmond SportDordrecht
Played55
Form60%33%
Attack64%55%
Defense55%27%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 18 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Helmond Sport Dordrecht
HATHAT
Played66126612
Wins83%0%42%33%33%33%
Draws0%17%8%33%33%33%
Loses17%83%50%33%33%33%

Form: Helmond Sport: LDWLLWLWLWWL • Dordrecht: WWLWDDLDDWLL

League goals

Metric Helmond Sport Dordrecht
HATHAT
GF total123157916
GF avg2.00.51.31.21.51.3
GA total7101761016
GA avg1.21.71.41.01.71.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHelmond SportDordrecht
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%83%83%67%
1.533%42%33%50%
2.58%17%17%17%
3.58%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHelmond SportDordrecht
HATHAT
Clean sheets202224
Failed to score033022

Penalties

MetricHelmond SportDordrecht
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricHelmond SportDordrecht
Wins22
Draws12
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-2—2-00-3
Biggest losses1-33-11-23-0
Goals For4123
Goals Against3323

Model comparison

MetricHelmond SportDordrecht
Form64%36%
Att54%46%
Def62%38%
Poisson Distribution58%42%
H2h7%93%
Goals15%85%
Total43.3%56.7%

Advice: Double chance : Helmond Sport or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.30 @ William Hill
Draw4.00 @ Bet365
Away3.05 @ Superbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.62 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.70 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.52 @ Pinnacle
No2.75 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Helmond Sport = 1.88 (league 1.80), Dordrecht = 1.36 (league 1.33)

Dordrecht
0 1 2 3 4 5
Helmond Sport 0 3.9% 5.3% 3.6% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%
1 7.4% 10.0% 6.8% 3.1% 1.0% 0.3%
2 6.9% 9.4% 6.4% 2.9% 1.0% 0.3%
3 4.4% 5.9% 4.0% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2%
4 2.1% 2.8% 1.9% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.8% 1.1% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 48.6% · Draw 22.4% · Away win 27.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1