Ligue 2 — France
Fri, Oct 24 2025 • 18:00 • Stade Marie-Marvingt
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.56 (league 1.43) 0.85 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
22.6% 37.6% 39.8%
best score tips
0 - 0
24.6%
0 - 1
20.8%
1 - 0
13.7%
Score & goals probability table
Boulogne
0 1 2 3 4 5
Le Mans 0 24.6% 20.8% 8.8% 2.5% 0.5% 0.1%
1 13.7% 11.6% 4.9% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
2 3.8% 3.2% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.7% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLe MansBoulogne
Played55
Form60%47%
Attack100%78%
Defense22%11%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.87 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.48 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

63%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Le Mans Boulogne
HATHAT
Played55106410
Wins40%20%30%17%50%30%
Draws20%60%40%17%0%10%
Loses40%20%30%67%50%60%

Form: Le Mans: DLWLLDWDDW • Boulogne: LLLLWLWLWD

League goals

Metric Le Mans Boulogne
HATHAT
GF total5914549
GF avg1.01.81.40.81.00.9
GA total591410313
GA avg1.01.81.41.70.81.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLe MansBoulogne
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%80%60%80%
1.540%50%20%40%
2.520%10%10%10%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLe MansBoulogne
HATHAT
Clean sheets202112
Failed to score112224

Penalties

MetricLe MansBoulogne
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricLe MansBoulogne
Wins11
Draws20
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-02-31-01-3
Biggest losses1-21-00-31-0
Goals For2323
Goals Against2331

Model comparison

MetricLe MansBoulogne
Form56%44%
Att56%44%
Def53%47%
Poisson Distribution44%56%
H2h71%29%
Goals70%30%
Total58.3%41.7%

Advice: Double chance : Le Mans or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.05 @ William Hill
Draw3.40 @ Bet365
Away4.33 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.28 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.68 @ Superbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.09 @ 188Bet
No1.85 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Le Mans = 0.56 (league 1.43), Boulogne = 0.85 (league 1.18)

Boulogne
0 1 2 3 4 5
Le Mans 0 24.6% 20.8% 8.8% 2.5% 0.5% 0.1%
1 13.7% 11.6% 4.9% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
2 3.8% 3.2% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.7% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 22.6% · Draw 37.6% · Away win 39.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1