Bundesliga — Germany
Fri, Oct 24 2025 • 18:30 • Weserstadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.25 (league 1.56) 1.73 (league 1.50)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
47.2% 20.1% 29.1%
best score tips
2 - 1
8.2%
1 - 1
7.3%
2 - 2
7.1%
Score & goals probability table
Union Berlin
0 1 2 3 4 5
Werder Bremen 0 1.9% 3.2% 2.8% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2%
1 4.2% 7.3% 6.3% 3.6% 1.6% 0.5%
2 4.7% 8.2% 7.1% 4.1% 1.8% 0.6%
3 3.6% 6.1% 5.3% 3.1% 1.3% 0.5%
4 2.0% 3.5% 3.0% 1.7% 0.7% 0.3%
5 0.9% 1.6% 1.3% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricWerder BremenUnion Berlin
Played55
Form47%47%
Attack44%56%
Defense44%38%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.49 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.810 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

74%
FT probability

3.5+

53%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Werder Bremen Union Berlin
HATHAT
Played347437
Wins33%25%29%50%33%43%
Draws33%25%29%25%0%14%
Loses33%50%43%25%67%43%

Form: Werder Bremen: LDWLLWD • Union Berlin: WLLWDLW

League goals

Metric Werder Bremen Union Berlin
HATHAT
GF total47117411
GF avg1.31.81.61.81.31.6
GA total610166814
GA avg2.02.52.31.52.72.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineWerder BremenUnion Berlin
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%71%57%86%
1.543%71%57%57%
2.529%57%29%43%
3.514%29%14%14%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricWerder BremenUnion Berlin
HATHAT
Clean sheets112101
Failed to score112123

Penalties

MetricWerder BremenUnion Berlin
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricWerder BremenUnion Berlin
Wins11
Draws11
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-43-13-4
Biggest losses0-34-02-43-0
Goals For3434
Goals Against3443

Model comparison

MetricWerder BremenUnion Berlin
Form50%50%
Att44%56%
Def53%47%
Poisson Distribution56%44%
H2h50%50%
Goals60%40%
Total52.2%47.8%

Advice: Double chance : Werder Bremen or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.42 @ 1xBet
Draw3.65 @ 1xBet
Away3.35 @ Dafabet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.83 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.20 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.65 @ Superbet
No2.44 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Werder Bremen = 2.25 (league 1.56), Union Berlin = 1.73 (league 1.50)

Union Berlin
0 1 2 3 4 5
Werder Bremen 0 1.9% 3.2% 2.8% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2%
1 4.2% 7.3% 6.3% 3.6% 1.6% 0.5%
2 4.7% 8.2% 7.1% 4.1% 1.8% 0.6%
3 3.6% 6.1% 5.3% 3.1% 1.3% 0.5%
4 2.0% 3.5% 3.0% 1.7% 0.7% 0.3%
5 0.9% 1.6% 1.3% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 47.2% · Draw 20.1% · Away win 29.1%

Vtot 3 , Vtod1