Thu, Oct 23 2025 • 19:00 • St James Park
Not Started
Expected Goals
2.30 (league 1.44) 1.90 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
44.7% 19.8% 31.2%
best score tips
2 - 1
7.6%
2 - 2
7.2%
1 - 1
6.6%
Score & goals probability table
Plymouth
0 1 2 3 4 5
Exeter City 0 1.5% 2.9% 2.7% 1.7% 0.8% 0.3%
1 3.5% 6.6% 6.2% 3.9% 1.9% 0.7%
2 4.0% 7.6% 7.2% 4.5% 2.1% 0.8%
3 3.1% 5.8% 5.5% 3.5% 1.6% 0.6%
4 1.8% 3.3% 3.2% 2.0% 0.9% 0.4%
5 0.8% 1.5% 1.4% 0.9% 0.4% 0.2%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricExeter CityPlymouth
Played55
Form27%47%
Attack33%100%
Defense44%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.69 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

85%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Exeter City Plymouth
HATHAT
Played67137512
Wins33%29%31%29%40%33%
Draws17%0%8%14%0%8%
Loses50%71%62%57%60%58%

Form: Exeter City: LWLWLWLLLLWDL • Plymouth: LLLLWLWWLWDL

League goals

Metric Exeter City Plymouth
HATHAT
GF total93128917
GF avg1.50.40.91.11.81.4
GA total7714101121
GA avg1.21.01.11.42.21.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineExeter CityPlymouth
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.554%77%67%83%
1.515%31%33%58%
2.515%0%25%25%
3.58%0%17%8%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricExeter CityPlymouth
HATHAT
Clean sheets123112
Failed to score246224

Penalties

MetricExeter CityPlymouth
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricExeter CityPlymouth
Wins12
Draws11
Losses44

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-14-20-4
Biggest losses0-22-01-34-0
Goals For4144
Goals Against2234

Model comparison

MetricExeter CityPlymouth
Form36%64%
Att25%75%
Def55%45%
Poisson Distribution53%47%
H2h38%62%
Goals53%47%
Total43.3%56.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Plymouth

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.91 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.55 @ Unibet
Away2.47 @ Dafabet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.85 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.08 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.67 @ Bet365
No2.23 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Exeter City = 2.30 (league 1.44), Plymouth = 1.90 (league 1.14)

Plymouth
0 1 2 3 4 5
Exeter City 0 1.5% 2.9% 2.7% 1.7% 0.8% 0.3%
1 3.5% 6.6% 6.2% 3.9% 1.9% 0.7%
2 4.0% 7.6% 7.2% 4.5% 2.1% 0.8%
3 3.1% 5.8% 5.5% 3.5% 1.6% 0.6%
4 1.8% 3.3% 3.2% 2.0% 0.9% 0.4%
5 0.8% 1.5% 1.4% 0.9% 0.4% 0.2%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 44.7% · Draw 19.8% · Away win 31.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1