League Two — England
Tue, Oct 21 2025 • 18:45 • County Ground
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.71 (league 1.41) 1.03 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
52.5% 24.0% 22.7%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.4%
1 - 0
11.1%
2 - 1
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
Notts County
0 1 2 3 4 5
Swindon Town 0 6.5% 6.7% 3.4% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
1 11.1% 11.4% 5.9% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.4% 9.7% 5.0% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
3 5.4% 5.5% 2.8% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
4 2.3% 2.4% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSwindon TownNotts County
Played55
Form60%60%
Attack73%82%
Defense27%64%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.69 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.64 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

82%
FT probability

2.5+

58%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

77%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Swindon Town Notts County
HATHAT
Played57126612
Wins80%57%67%67%33%50%
Draws0%0%0%17%17%17%
Loses20%43%33%17%50%33%

Form: Swindon Town: LWWLWWWWLWWL • Notts County: DLLWDWWLWLWW

League goals

Metric Swindon Town Notts County
HATHAT
GF total10122215621
GF avg2.01.71.82.51.01.8
GA total611176713
GA avg1.21.61.41.01.21.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSwindon TownNotts County
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%75%92%75%
1.567%42%42%33%
2.533%17%25%0%
3.50%8%17%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSwindon TownNotts County
HATHAT
Clean sheets123213
Failed to score112011

Penalties

MetricSwindon TownNotts County
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricSwindon TownNotts County
Wins42
Draws01
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-34-01-2
Biggest losses0-24-01-22-1
Goals For3342
Goals Against2422

Model comparison

MetricSwindon TownNotts County
Form50%50%
Att47%53%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution62%38%
H2h40%60%
Goals44%56%
Total46.0%54.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Notts County

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.27 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.60 @ Bet365
Away3.10 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.84 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.07 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.67 @ 188Bet
No2.29 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Swindon Town = 1.71 (league 1.41), Notts County = 1.03 (league 1.17)

Notts County
0 1 2 3 4 5
Swindon Town 0 6.5% 6.7% 3.4% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
1 11.1% 11.4% 5.9% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.4% 9.7% 5.0% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
3 5.4% 5.5% 2.8% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
4 2.3% 2.4% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 52.5% · Draw 24.0% · Away win 22.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1