First League — Russia
Mon, Oct 20 2025 • 16:30 • Arena Khimki
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.73 (league 1.23) 1.03 (league 1.05)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
25.5% 32.8% 41.6%
best score tips
0 - 1
17.7%
0 - 0
17.2%
1 - 1
12.9%
Score & goals probability table
Shinnik Yaroslavl
0 1 2 3 4 5
Torpedo Moskva 0 17.2% 17.7% 9.1% 3.1% 0.8% 0.2%
1 12.6% 12.9% 6.6% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
2 4.6% 4.7% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 1.1% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTorpedo MoskvaShinnik Yaroslavl
Played55
Form27%33%
Attack60%30%
Defense0%60%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.23 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

58%
FT probability

2.5+

41%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

54%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Torpedo Moskva Shinnik Yaroslavl
HATHAT
Played68147714
Wins17%13%14%43%14%29%
Draws17%38%29%14%57%36%
Loses67%50%57%43%29%36%

Form: Torpedo Moskva: LDLLWLLDDLLWLD • Shinnik Yaroslavl: LDLLWDWDWDDWLL

League goals

Metric Torpedo Moskva Shinnik Yaroslavl
HATHAT
GF total64106410
GF avg1.00.50.70.90.60.7
GA total1111225611
GA avg1.81.41.60.70.90.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTorpedo MoskvaShinnik Yaroslavl
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%71%50%57%
1.521%43%21%14%
2.50%36%0%7%
3.50%7%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTorpedo MoskvaShinnik Yaroslavl
HATHAT
Clean sheets224336
Failed to score257347

Penalties

MetricTorpedo MoskvaShinnik Yaroslavl
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricTorpedo MoskvaShinnik Yaroslavl
Wins11
Draws22
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-12-01-2
Biggest losses1-43-00-23-1
Goals For2222
Goals Against4323

Model comparison

MetricTorpedo MoskvaShinnik Yaroslavl
Form44%56%
Att67%33%
Def29%71%
Poisson Distribution41%59%
H2h75%25%
Goals63%38%
Total53.2%47.0%

Advice: Double chance : Torpedo Moskva or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.95 @ 1xBet
Draw3.30 @ Pinnacle
Away5.14 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.64 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.49 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.50 @ 188Bet
No1.60 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Torpedo Moskva = 0.73 (league 1.23), Shinnik Yaroslavl = 1.03 (league 1.05)

Shinnik Yaroslavl
0 1 2 3 4 5
Torpedo Moskva 0 17.2% 17.7% 9.1% 3.1% 0.8% 0.2%
1 12.6% 12.9% 6.6% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
2 4.6% 4.7% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 1.1% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 25.5% · Draw 32.8% · Away win 41.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1