Sun, Oct 19 2025 • 01:00 • Estadio Miguel Alemán Valdés
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.28 (league 1.52) 0.43 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
58.1% 29.4% 12.3%
best score tips
1 - 0
23.2%
0 - 0
18.1%
2 - 0
14.9%
Score & goals probability table
Deportivo Zap
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lobos ULMX 0 18.1% 7.7% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 23.2% 9.9% 2.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 14.9% 6.3% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 6.4% 2.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLobos ULMXDeportivo Zap
Played55
Form53%27%
Attack38%54%
Defense69%46%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.87 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

59%
FT probability

2.5+

41%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

59%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lobos ULMX Deportivo Zap
HATHAT
Played448448
Wins75%0%38%25%25%25%
Draws0%75%38%50%0%25%
Loses25%25%25%25%75%50%

Form: Lobos ULMX: LWDLDWDW • Deportivo Zap: LDWDLWLL

League goals

Metric Lobos ULMX Deportivo Zap
HATHAT
GF total538549
GF avg1.30.81.01.31.01.1
GA total246268
GA avg0.51.00.80.51.51.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLobos ULMXDeportivo Zap
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%75%50%63%
1.525%0%38%25%
2.50%0%13%13%
3.50%0%13%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLobos ULMXDeportivo Zap
HATHAT
Clean sheets202213
Failed to score112224

Penalties

MetricLobos ULMXDeportivo Zap
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricLobos ULMXDeportivo Zap
Wins11
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-0—4-00-2
Biggest losses0-11-00-12-0
Goals For2142
Goals Against1113

Model comparison

MetricLobos ULMXDeportivo Zap
Form67%33%
Att42%58%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution74%26%
H2h25%75%
Goals36%64%
Total51.3%48.7%

Advice: Double chance : Lobos ULMX or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.49 @ Marathonbet
Draw3.25 @ Bet365
Away2.70 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.35 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.59 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.88 @ Marathonbet
No1.81 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Lobos ULMX = 1.28 (league 1.52), Deportivo Zap = 0.43 (league 1.18)

Deportivo Zap
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lobos ULMX 0 18.1% 7.7% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 23.2% 9.9% 2.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 14.9% 6.3% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 6.4% 2.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 58.1% · Draw 29.4% · Away win 12.3%

Vtot 3 , Vtod1