Sun, Oct 19 2025 • 11:00 • Pakhtakor Central Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.97 (league 1.45) 0.51 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
70.6% 19.2% 8.7%
best score tips
1 - 0
16.5%
2 - 0
16.2%
3 - 0
10.6%
Score & goals probability table
Qizilqum
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pakhtakor 0 8.4% 4.3% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 16.5% 8.5% 2.2% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.2% 8.3% 2.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
3 10.6% 5.4% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 5.2% 2.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.1% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPakhtakorQizilqum
Played55
Form87%27%
Attack65%15%
Defense85%75%
Goals For (tot | avg)13 | 2.63 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.65 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Pakhtakor Qizilqum
HATHAT
Played121224121224
Wins75%42%58%42%17%29%
Draws0%33%17%25%42%33%
Loses25%25%25%33%42%38%

Form: Pakhtakor: LLWLLWWLWWWDWDWWLDWWWDWW • Qizilqum: WLLDWLWDLLLDDDWDWDWDLLLW

League goals

Metric Pakhtakor Qizilqum
HATHAT
GF total26234911920
GF avg2.21.92.00.90.80.8
GA total81220141630
GA avg0.71.00.81.21.31.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePakhtakorQizilqum
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%50%58%63%
1.554%29%21%38%
2.525%4%4%21%
3.521%0%0%4%
4.513%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPakhtakorQizilqum
HATHAT
Clean sheets7512549
Failed to score1344610

Penalties

MetricPakhtakorQizilqum
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total32

Streaks

MetricPakhtakorQizilqum
Wins31
Draws13
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-02-62-01-2
Biggest losses2-32-00-34-0
Goals For6632
Goals Against3234

Model comparison

MetricPakhtakorQizilqum
Form76%24%
Att81%19%
Def63%38%
Poisson Distribution82%18%
H2h71%29%
Goals63%38%
Total72.7%27.7%

Advice: Winner : Pakhtakor

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.28 @ Bet365
Draw5.42 @ Pinnacle
Away13.10 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.85 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.00 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.49 @ Pinnacle
No1.57 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Pakhtakor = 1.97 (league 1.45), Qizilqum = 0.51 (league 1.09)

Qizilqum
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pakhtakor 0 8.4% 4.3% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 16.5% 8.5% 2.2% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.2% 8.3% 2.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
3 10.6% 5.4% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 5.2% 2.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.1% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 70.6% · Draw 19.2% · Away win 8.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1