Ykkönen — Finland
Sun, Oct 19 2025 • 12:00 • Mikkelin Urheilupuisto
Match Finished

MP

2 - 2

OLS

Expected Goals
1.50 (league 2.01) 0.76 (league 1.47)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
54.2% 26.2% 19.1%
best score tips
1 - 0
15.6%
1 - 1
11.9%
2 - 0
11.7%
Score & goals probability table
OLS
0 1 2 3 4 5
MP 0 10.5% 8.0% 3.0% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
1 15.6% 11.9% 4.5% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.7% 8.9% 3.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 5.8% 4.4% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.2% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMPOLS
Played55
Form87%80%
Attack82%76%
Defense76%71%
Goals For (tot | avg)14 | 2.813 | 2.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

89%
FT probability

2.5+

63%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric MP OLS
HATHAT
Played131326141226
Wins62%46%54%64%25%46%
Draws31%23%27%29%50%38%
Loses8%31%19%7%25%15%

Form: MP: LLLDLWWWDWDDDLWWWWWDWWWWWD • OLS: DDLWLWWWDDDDWDWWDWLDDLWWWW

League goals

Metric MP OLS
HATHAT
GF total262753401959
GF avg2.02.12.02.91.62.3
GA total92029161834
GA avg0.71.51.11.11.51.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMPOLS
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.581%69%92%77%
1.569%27%69%38%
2.531%12%35%12%
3.512%4%19%4%
4.58%0%8%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMPOLS
HATHAT
Clean sheets538426
Failed to score325022

Penalties

MetricMPOLS
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%6 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total26

Streaks

MetricMPOLS
Wins53
Draws34
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-11-66-11-4
Biggest losses0-14-01-34-1
Goals For5664
Goals Against2434

Model comparison

MetricMPOLS
Form52%48%
Att52%48%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution66%34%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total54.3%45.7%

Advice: Double chance : MP or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.14 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.80 @ Bet365
Away3.00 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.57 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.40 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.55 @ Pinnacle
No2.60 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): MP = 1.50 (league 2.01), OLS = 0.76 (league 1.47)

OLS
0 1 2 3 4 5
MP 0 10.5% 8.0% 3.0% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
1 15.6% 11.9% 4.5% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.7% 8.9% 3.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 5.8% 4.4% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.2% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 54.2% · Draw 26.2% · Away win 19.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1