Ligue A — Burundi
Sun, Oct 19 2025 • 13:00 • Stade Peace Park Progress
Match Postponed
Expected Goals
2.82 (league 1.47) 0.37 (league 1.22)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
80.7% 9.6% 2.9%
best score tips
2 - 0
16.4%
3 - 0
15.4%
1 - 0
11.6%
Score & goals probability table
Musongati
0 1 2 3 4 5
Aigle Noir 0 4.1% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 11.6% 4.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.4% 6.0% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 15.4% 5.7% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 10.9% 4.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 6.1% 2.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAigle NoirMusongati
Played55
Form87%67%
Attack100%46%
Defense69%62%
Goals For (tot | avg)15 | 36 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Aigle Noir Musongati
HATHAT
Played347347
Wins100%75%86%67%50%57%
Draws0%25%14%33%0%14%
Loses0%0%0%0%50%29%

Form: Aigle Noir: WWWWDWW • Musongati: LWWDLWW

League goals

Metric Aigle Noir Musongati
HATHAT
GF total71219268
GF avg2.33.02.70.71.51.1
GA total134077
GA avg0.30.80.60.01.81.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAigle NoirMusongati
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%43%86%43%
1.571%14%14%29%
2.529%0%14%14%
3.529%0%0%14%
4.514%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAigle NoirMusongati
HATHAT
Clean sheets224314
Failed to score000101

Penalties

MetricAigle NoirMusongati
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricAigle NoirMusongati
Wins42
Draws11
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-11-71-01-3
Biggest losses———4-1
Goals For4713
Goals Against1204

Model comparison

MetricAigle NoirMusongati
Form57%43%
Att71%29%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution86%14%
H2h100%0%
Goals90%10%
Total72.0%28.0%

Advice: Winner : Aigle Noir

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Aigle Noir = 2.82 (league 1.47), Musongati = 0.37 (league 1.22)

Musongati
0 1 2 3 4 5
Aigle Noir 0 4.1% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 11.6% 4.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.4% 6.0% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 15.4% 5.7% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 10.9% 4.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 6.1% 2.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 80.7% · Draw 9.6% · Away win 2.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1