Sun, Oct 19 2025 • 13:00 •
Leon Arena
Expected Goals
0.48 (league 1.47)
1.89 (league 1.22)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 8.5% | 20.0% | 70.2% |
best score tips
0 - 1
17.7%
0 - 2
16.7%
0 - 3
10.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Real Calepina | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Leon Monza e Brianza | 0 | 9.4% | 17.7% | 16.7% | 10.5% | 5.0% | 1.9% |
| 1 | 4.5% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 0.9% | |
| 2 | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Leon Monza e Brianza | Real Calepina |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 47% |
| Attack | 38% | 69% |
| Defense | 69% | 31% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 9 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
76%
FT probability
2.5+
54%
FT probability
3.5+
38%
FT probability
BTTS
66%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Leon Monza e Brianza | Real Calepina | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| Wins | 0% | 25% | 14% | 25% | 67% | 43% |
| Draws | 67% | 75% | 71% | 25% | 0% | 14% |
| Loses | 33% | 0% | 14% | 50% | 33% | 43% |
Form: Leon Monza e Brianza: DDDDDLW • Real Calepina: LWDWWLL
League goals
| Metric | Leon Monza e Brianza | Real Calepina | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 2 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 13 |
| GF avg | 0.7 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 2.3 | 1.9 |
| GA total | 3 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 3 | 12 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.3 | 1.0 | 1.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Leon Monza e Brianza | Real Calepina | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 71% | 57% | 86% | 71% |
| 1.5 | 43% | 43% | 71% | 57% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 29% | 43% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Leon Monza e Brianza | Real Calepina | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Leon Monza e Brianza | Real Calepina |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Leon Monza e Brianza | Real Calepina |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 2 |
| Draws | 5 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 0-2 | 3-1 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | — | 0-3 | 3-2 |
| Goals For | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Leon Monza e Brianza | Real Calepina |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 46% | 54% |
| Att | 36% | 64% |
| Def | 69% | 31% |
| Poisson Distribution | 25% | 75% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 63% | 38% |
| Total | 47.8% | 52.4% |
Advice: Double chance : Leon Monza e Brianza or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Leon Monza e Brianza = 0.48 (league 1.47), Real Calepina = 1.89 (league 1.22)
| Real Calepina | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Leon Monza e Brianza | 0 | 9.4% | 17.7% | 16.7% | 10.5% | 5.0% | 1.9% |
| 1 | 4.5% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 0.9% | |
| 2 | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 8.5% · Draw 20.0% · Away win 70.2%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1