Sun, Oct 19 2025 • 13:00 •
Stadio Guido D'Ippolito
Expected Goals
1.64 (league 1.35)
1.51 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 40.3% | 23.6% | 35.0% |
best score tips
1 - 1
10.6%
2 - 1
8.7%
1 - 2
8.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Messina | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sambiase | 0 | 4.3% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 7.0% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 5.7% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 3.1% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Sambiase | Messina |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 73% | 53% |
| Attack | 62% | 38% |
| Defense | 77% | 62% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
73%
FT probability
2.5+
51%
FT probability
3.5+
36%
FT probability
BTTS
73%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Sambiase | Messina | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| Wins | 33% | 50% | 43% | 25% | 67% | 43% |
| Draws | 67% | 25% | 43% | 50% | 33% | 43% |
| Loses | 0% | 25% | 14% | 25% | 0% | 14% |
Form: Sambiase: LDWWDDW • Messina: DWLWDDW
League goals
| Metric | Sambiase | Messina | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 5 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 7 | 8 |
| GF avg | 1.7 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 2.3 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 2 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| GA avg | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 1.3 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Sambiase | Messina | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 71% | 71% | 57% | 57% |
| 1.5 | 43% | 14% | 43% | 29% |
| 2.5 | 14% | 0% | 14% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Sambiase | Messina | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Sambiase | Messina |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Sambiase | Messina |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 1-2 | 1-0 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | — | 2-0 | 0-2 | — |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Sambiase | Messina |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 58% | 42% |
| Att | 62% | 38% |
| Def | 63% | 38% |
| Poisson Distribution | 48% | 52% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 57.8% | 42.5% |
Advice: Double chance : Sambiase or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Sambiase = 1.64 (league 1.35), Messina = 1.51 (league 1.06)
| Messina | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sambiase | 0 | 4.3% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 7.0% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 5.7% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 3.1% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 40.3% · Draw 23.6% · Away win 35.0%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1