Sun, Oct 19 2025 • 13:00 • Mustapekka Areena
Match Finished
3 - 4

SJK

Expected Goals
1.41 (league 1.66) 2.20 (league 1.63)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
23.8% 20.3% 53.1%
best score tips
1 - 2
9.2%
1 - 1
8.4%
1 - 3
6.8%
Score & goals probability table
SJK
0 1 2 3 4 5
Gnistan 0 2.7% 6.0% 6.6% 4.8% 2.7% 1.2%
1 3.8% 8.4% 9.2% 6.8% 3.7% 1.6%
2 2.7% 5.9% 6.5% 4.8% 2.6% 1.2%
3 1.3% 2.8% 3.0% 2.2% 1.2% 0.5%
4 0.4% 1.0% 1.1% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2%
5 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGnistanSJK
Played55
Form20%53%
Attack43%71%
Defense7%36%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.210 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)13 | 2.69 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

70%
FT probability

3.5+

50%
FT probability

BTTS

79%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Gnistan SJK
HATHAT
Played131326141226
Wins31%31%31%57%50%54%
Draws23%31%27%29%17%23%
Loses46%38%42%14%33%23%

Form: Gnistan: LLWLWWDDLWDDLDWLLDWDWLLLLW • SJK: WWWWDLLDLLDWWWDWLWWWWDDLWW

League goals

Metric Gnistan SJK
HATHAT
GF total172239302454
GF avg1.31.71.52.12.02.1
GA total232750172239
GA avg1.82.11.91.21.81.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGnistanSJK
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.573%77%92%85%
1.554%69%73%38%
2.515%27%35%19%
3.54%12%8%8%
4.54%4%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGnistanSJK
HATHAT
Clean sheets336224
Failed to score437112

Penalties

MetricGnistanSJK
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total43

Streaks

MetricGnistanSJK
Wins24
Draws22
Losses42

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-02-54-10-4
Biggest losses0-46-22-34-1
Goals For3544
Goals Against4634

Model comparison

MetricGnistanSJK
Form27%73%
Att38%63%
Def41%59%
Poisson Distribution40%60%
H2h36%64%
Goals40%60%
Total37.0%63.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or SJK and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.44 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.22 @ Pinnacle
Away2.00 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.40 @ 10Bet
Under 2.53.06 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.40 @ William Hill
No3.19 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Gnistan = 1.41 (league 1.66), SJK = 2.20 (league 1.63)

SJK
0 1 2 3 4 5
Gnistan 0 2.7% 6.0% 6.6% 4.8% 2.7% 1.2%
1 3.8% 8.4% 9.2% 6.8% 3.7% 1.6%
2 2.7% 5.9% 6.5% 4.8% 2.6% 1.2%
3 1.3% 2.8% 3.0% 2.2% 1.2% 0.5%
4 0.4% 1.0% 1.1% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2%
5 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 23.8% · Draw 20.3% · Away win 53.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1