Sun, Oct 19 2025 • 14:00 •
Ciudad Deportiva Rayo Vallecano Campo 4
Expected Goals
4.45 (league 1.40)
1.40 (league 1.07)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 57.1% | 7.7% | 5.9% |
best score tips
4 - 1
6.6%
3 - 1
5.9%
5 - 1
5.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Colonia Moscardó | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Rayo Vallecano II | 0 | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 2.8% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 4.2% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 4.7% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 4.2% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Rayo Vallecano II | Colonia Moscardó |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 33% |
| Attack | 100% | 100% |
| Defense | 0% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 9 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
69%
FT probability
3.5+
49%
FT probability
BTTS
75%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Rayo Vallecano II | Colonia Moscardó | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| Wins | 100% | 33% | 60% | 0% | 50% | 17% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 50% | 0% | 33% |
| Loses | 0% | 67% | 40% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
Form: Rayo Vallecano II: WLWLW • Colonia Moscardó: LWDLLD
League goals
| Metric | Rayo Vallecano II | Colonia Moscardó | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 5 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| GF avg | 2.5 | 0.7 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 3 | 7 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
| GA avg | 1.5 | 2.3 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 2.5 | 1.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Rayo Vallecano II | Colonia Moscardó | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 80% | 80% | 67% | 83% |
| 1.5 | 40% | 60% | 33% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 20% | 20% | 0% | 17% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 20% | 0% | 17% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 20% | 0% | 17% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Rayo Vallecano II | Colonia Moscardó | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Rayo Vallecano II | Colonia Moscardó |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Rayo Vallecano II | Colonia Moscardó |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-2 | 0-1 | — | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | — | 5-0 | 1-2 | 5-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 5 | 2 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Rayo Vallecano II | Colonia Moscardó |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 64% | 36% |
| Att | 58% | 42% |
| Def | 47% | 53% |
| Poisson Distribution | 75% | 25% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 62% | 38% |
| Total | 59.3% | 40.7% |
Advice: Combo Winner : Rayo Vallecano II and +1.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Rayo Vallecano II = 4.45 (league 1.40), Colonia Moscardó = 1.40 (league 1.07)
| Colonia Moscardó | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Rayo Vallecano II | 0 | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 2.8% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 4.2% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 4.7% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 4.2% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 57.1% · Draw 7.7% · Away win 5.9%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1
