Sun, Oct 19 2025 • 15:00 •
Estadio El Castañar
Expected Goals
1.45 (league 1.52)
0.34 (league 1.16)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 65.2% | 26.0% | 8.4% |
best score tips
1 - 0
24.3%
2 - 0
17.6%
0 - 0
16.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Castro | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Barquereño | 0 | 16.7% | 5.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 24.3% | 8.2% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 17.6% | 5.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 8.5% | 2.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Barquereño | Castro |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 20% | 47% |
| Attack | 58% | 100% |
| Defense | 0% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 12 | 2.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 15 | 3 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
86%
FT probability
2.5+
61%
FT probability
3.5+
43%
FT probability
BTTS
69%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Barquereño | Castro | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Wins | 33% | 0% | 17% | 67% | 0% | 33% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| Loses | 67% | 100% | 83% | 0% | 67% | 33% |
Form: Barquereño: LLLLWL • Castro: DLWDLW
League goals
| Metric | Barquereño | Castro | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 4 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 1 | 14 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 4.3 | 0.3 | 2.3 |
| GA total | 4 | 12 | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 4.0 | 2.7 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Barquereño | Castro | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 50% | 100% | 67% | 83% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 67% | 50% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 17% | 50% | 17% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 17% | 33% | 17% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 17% | 17% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Barquereño | Castro | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Barquereño | Castro |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Barquereño | Castro |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 4 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | — | 9-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 5-0 | — | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 2 | 9 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 5 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Barquereño | Castro |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 30% | 70% |
| Att | 37% | 63% |
| Def | 29% | 71% |
| Poisson Distribution | 76% | 24% |
| H2h | 36% | 64% |
| Goals | 38% | 63% |
| Total | 41.0% | 59.2% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Castro
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Barquereño = 1.45 (league 1.52), Castro = 0.34 (league 1.16)
| Castro | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Barquereño | 0 | 16.7% | 5.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 24.3% | 8.2% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 17.6% | 5.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 8.5% | 2.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 65.2% · Draw 26.0% · Away win 8.4%
Vtot 2 , Vtod1