Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 21:00 •
Estadio Los Milagros
Expected Goals
1.36 (league 1.10)
1.16 (league 1.01)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 41.1% | 26.7% | 31.7% |
best score tips
1 - 1
12.7%
1 - 0
11.0%
0 - 1
9.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Independiente de La Chorrera | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Herrera | 0 | 8.1% | 9.4% | 5.4% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 11.0% | 12.7% | 7.3% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 7.5% | 8.6% | 5.0% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 3.4% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Herrera | Independiente de La Chorrera |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 7% | 33% |
| Attack | 21% | 11% |
| Defense | 47% | 79% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 2 | 0.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
68%
FT probability
2.5+
48%
FT probability
3.5+
34%
FT probability
BTTS
64%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Herrera | Independiente de La Chorrera | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 14 | 14 | 28 | 15 | 14 | 29 |
| Wins | 29% | 0% | 14% | 40% | 14% | 28% |
| Draws | 21% | 43% | 32% | 40% | 29% | 34% |
| Loses | 50% | 57% | 54% | 20% | 57% | 38% |
Form: Herrera: LDWLLLDDLDLWDDLWLLDLDWLDLLLL • Independiente de La Chorrera: WWLWDLDWDDWLLDWDLLWLLDDLDDLLW
League goals
| Metric | Herrera | Independiente de La Chorrera | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 14 | 11 | 25 | 23 | 12 | 35 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 18 | 24 | 42 | 14 | 21 | 35 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 1.7 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 1.5 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Herrera | Independiente de La Chorrera | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 57% | 82% | 66% | 66% |
| 1.5 | 25% | 50% | 38% | 34% |
| 2.5 | 7% | 14% | 14% | 21% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 4% | 3% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Herrera | Independiente de La Chorrera | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 10 |
| Failed to score | 7 | 5 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
Penalties
| Metric | Herrera | Independiente de La Chorrera |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Herrera | Independiente de La Chorrera |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | — | 4-0 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 4-1 | 2-3 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Herrera | Independiente de La Chorrera |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 17% | 83% |
| Att | 67% | 33% |
| Def | 29% | 71% |
| Poisson Distribution | 54% | 46% |
| H2h | 20% | 80% |
| Goals | 35% | 65% |
| Total | 37.0% | 63.0% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Independiente de La Chorrera
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Herrera = 1.36 (league 1.10), Independiente de La Chorrera = 1.16 (league 1.01)
| Independiente de La Chorrera | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Herrera | 0 | 8.1% | 9.4% | 5.4% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 11.0% | 12.7% | 7.3% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 7.5% | 8.6% | 5.0% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 3.4% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 41.1% · Draw 26.7% · Away win 31.7%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1
