Sun, Oct 26 2025 • 12:00 • Stadio Curva Fiesole - Viola Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.62 (league 1.45) 1.23 (league 1.30)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
45.7% 24.5% 28.9%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.5%
1 - 0
9.4%
2 - 1
9.3%
Score & goals probability table
Atalanta U20
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fiorentina U20 0 5.8% 7.1% 4.4% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1%
1 9.4% 11.5% 7.1% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2%
2 7.6% 9.3% 5.7% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2%
3 4.1% 5.0% 3.1% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.7% 2.0% 1.3% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFiorentina U20Atalanta U20
Played55
Form67%60%
Attack64%50%
Defense50%64%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.87 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Fiorentina U20 Atalanta U20
HATHAT
Played448448
Wins75%50%63%25%75%50%
Draws25%25%25%75%25%50%
Loses0%25%13%0%0%0%

Form: Fiorentina U20: WDWLWWDW • Atalanta U20: DWWDDWWD

League goals

Metric Fiorentina U20 Atalanta U20
HATHAT
GF total76136814
GF avg1.81.51.61.52.01.8
GA total358358
GA avg0.81.31.00.81.31.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFiorentina U20Atalanta U20
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%63%75%63%
1.550%25%63%25%
2.513%13%25%13%
3.50%0%13%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFiorentina U20Atalanta U20
HATHAT
Clean sheets213213
Failed to score000202

Penalties

MetricFiorentina U20Atalanta U20
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricFiorentina U20Atalanta U20
Wins22
Draws12
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-24-11-2
Biggest losses—3-1——
Goals For3243
Goals Against2323

Model comparison

MetricFiorentina U20Atalanta U20
Form53%47%
Att56%44%
Def42%58%
Poisson Distribution54%46%
H2h80%20%
Goals67%33%
Total58.7%41.3%

Advice: Double chance : Fiorentina U20 or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.18 @ Marathonbet
Draw3.45 @ 1xBet
Away3.65 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.78 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.10 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.61 @ Pinnacle
No2.31 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Fiorentina U20 = 1.62 (league 1.45), Atalanta U20 = 1.23 (league 1.30)

Atalanta U20
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fiorentina U20 0 5.8% 7.1% 4.4% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1%
1 9.4% 11.5% 7.1% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2%
2 7.6% 9.3% 5.7% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2%
3 4.1% 5.0% 3.1% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.7% 2.0% 1.3% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 45.7% · Draw 24.5% · Away win 28.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1