Sun, Oct 26 2025 • 11:30 •
Grand Shiraz Stadium
Expected Goals
0.70 (league 1.14)
0.64 (league 0.87)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 32.3% | 39.2% | 28.6% |
best score tips
0 - 0
26.0%
1 - 0
18.3%
0 - 1
16.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Esteghlal FC | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Fajr Sepasi | 0 | 26.0% | 16.7% | 5.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 18.3% | 11.8% | 3.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 6.4% | 4.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Fajr Sepasi | Esteghlal FC |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 40% |
| Attack | 36% | 45% |
| Defense | 73% | 55% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
51%
FT probability
2.5+
36%
FT probability
3.5+
26%
FT probability
BTTS
64%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Fajr Sepasi | Esteghlal FC | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| Wins | 67% | 25% | 43% | 33% | 25% | 29% |
| Draws | 0% | 75% | 43% | 67% | 50% | 57% |
| Loses | 33% | 0% | 14% | 0% | 25% | 14% |
Form: Fajr Sepasi: DWDWDLW • Esteghlal FC: WDLDDDW
League goals
| Metric | Fajr Sepasi | Esteghlal FC | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 9 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 2.0 | 0.8 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| GA avg | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 1.7 | 0.8 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Fajr Sepasi | Esteghlal FC | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 86% | 43% | 86% | 71% |
| 1.5 | 0% | 14% | 29% | 29% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 14% | 14% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Fajr Sepasi | Esteghlal FC | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Fajr Sepasi | Esteghlal FC |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Fajr Sepasi | Esteghlal FC |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 3 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 1-0 | 0-1 | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | — | — | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Fajr Sepasi | Esteghlal FC |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 57% | 43% |
| Att | 44% | 56% |
| Def | 63% | 38% |
| Poisson Distribution | 57% | 43% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 33% | 67% |
| Total | 47.2% | 53.0% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Esteghlal FC and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Fajr Sepasi = 0.70 (league 1.14), Esteghlal FC = 0.64 (league 0.87)
| Esteghlal FC | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Fajr Sepasi | 0 | 26.0% | 16.7% | 5.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 18.3% | 11.8% | 3.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 6.4% | 4.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 32.3% · Draw 39.2% · Away win 28.6%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1