Bundesliga — Austria
Sun, Oct 26 2025 • 13:30 • Merkur-Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.49 (league 1.42) 1.55 (league 1.29)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
11.6% 25.0% 62.9%
best score tips
0 - 1
20.1%
0 - 2
15.5%
0 - 0
13.0%
Score & goals probability table
Wolfsberger AC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sturm Graz 0 13.0% 20.1% 15.5% 8.0% 3.1% 1.0%
1 6.4% 9.9% 7.7% 4.0% 1.5% 0.5%
2 1.6% 2.5% 1.9% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%
3 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSturm GrazWolfsberger AC
Played55
Form80%67%
Attack69%77%
Defense69%54%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.810 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.86 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sturm Graz Wolfsberger AC
HATHAT
Played3696410
Wins33%100%78%50%50%50%
Draws0%0%0%0%50%20%
Loses67%0%22%50%0%30%

Form: Sturm Graz: WLWWLWWWW • Wolfsberger AC: LWWLDWDWWL

League goals

Metric Sturm Graz Wolfsberger AC
HATHAT
GF total216189817
GF avg0.72.72.01.52.01.7
GA total3477411
GA avg1.00.70.81.21.01.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSturm GrazWolfsberger AC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.589%44%90%70%
1.567%22%50%40%
2.533%11%30%0%
3.511%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSturm GrazWolfsberger AC
HATHAT
Clean sheets145213
Failed to score101101

Penalties

MetricSturm GrazWolfsberger AC
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricSturm GrazWolfsberger AC
Wins22
Draws01
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-33-01-3
Biggest losses1-2—0-2—
Goals For1433
Goals Against2322

Model comparison

MetricSturm GrazWolfsberger AC
Form55%45%
Att47%53%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution25%75%
H2h38%62%
Goals43%57%
Total44.7%55.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Wolfsberger AC

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.40 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.60 @ 188Bet
Away3.45 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.02 @ SBO
Under 2.52.05 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.75 @ 188Bet
No2.16 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sturm Graz = 0.49 (league 1.42), Wolfsberger AC = 1.55 (league 1.29)

Wolfsberger AC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sturm Graz 0 13.0% 20.1% 15.5% 8.0% 3.1% 1.0%
1 6.4% 9.9% 7.7% 4.0% 1.5% 0.5%
2 1.6% 2.5% 1.9% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%
3 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 11.6% · Draw 25.0% · Away win 62.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1