Sun, Oct 26 2025 • 13:30 • Stadio Carlo Zecchini
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.18 (league 1.26) 0.24 (league 1.04)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
82.1% 6.3% 1.3%
best score tips
3 - 0
17.5%
2 - 0
16.5%
4 - 0
13.9%
Score & goals probability table
Poggibonsi
0 1 2 3 4 5
Grosseto 0 3.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 10.4% 2.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.5% 4.0% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 17.5% 4.2% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 13.9% 3.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 8.9% 2.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGrossetoPoggibonsi
Played55
Form87%13%
Attack82%45%
Defense73%18%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.69 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Grosseto Poggibonsi
HATHAT
Played448448
Wins75%75%75%0%0%0%
Draws25%0%13%25%25%25%
Loses0%25%13%75%75%75%

Form: Grosseto: LWWWDWWW • Poggibonsi: LLLDDLLL

League goals

Metric Grosseto Poggibonsi
HATHAT
GF total8614426
GF avg2.01.51.81.00.50.8
GA total2467815
GA avg0.51.00.81.82.01.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGrossetoPoggibonsi
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%50%63%100%
1.538%25%13%75%
2.538%0%0%13%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGrossetoPoggibonsi
HATHAT
Clean sheets224000
Failed to score000123

Penalties

MetricGrossetoPoggibonsi
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricGrossetoPoggibonsi
Wins30
Draws12
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-02-3——
Biggest losses—2-11-23-1
Goals For3321
Goals Against1223

Model comparison

MetricGrossetoPoggibonsi
Form87%13%
Att64%36%
Def75%25%
Poisson Distribution91%9%
H2h80%20%
Goals67%33%
Total77.3%22.7%

Advice: Winner : Grosseto

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.56 @ Unibet
Draw4.20 @ Bet365
Away9.30 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.96 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.95 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.16 @ Marathonbet
No1.65 @ Superbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Grosseto = 3.18 (league 1.26), Poggibonsi = 0.24 (league 1.04)

Poggibonsi
0 1 2 3 4 5
Grosseto 0 3.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 10.4% 2.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.5% 4.0% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 17.5% 4.2% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 13.9% 3.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 8.9% 2.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 82.1% · Draw 6.3% · Away win 1.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1