Sun, Oct 26 2025 • 14:00 • Stadio Felice Squitieri
Halftime
Expected Goals
0.42 (league 1.53) 1.24 (league 0.97)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
12.5% 30.3% 57.0%
best score tips
0 - 1
23.6%
0 - 0
19.0%
0 - 2
14.6%
Score & goals probability table
Città di Fasano
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sarnese 0 19.0% 23.6% 14.6% 6.0% 1.9% 0.5%
1 8.0% 9.9% 6.1% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2%
2 1.7% 2.1% 1.3% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
3 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSarneseCittà di Fasano
Played55
Form7%73%
Attack50%90%
Defense0%60%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 19 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sarnese Città di Fasano
HATHAT
Played448448
Wins25%25%25%75%75%75%
Draws50%0%25%25%25%25%
Loses25%75%50%0%0%0%

Form: Sarnese: DWWLLLDL • Città di Fasano: WWWWDDWW

League goals

Metric Sarnese Città di Fasano
HATHAT
GF total37108614
GF avg0.81.81.32.01.51.8
GA total31013235
GA avg0.82.51.60.50.80.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSarneseCittà di Fasano
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%75%100%50%
1.538%63%63%13%
2.513%13%13%0%
3.50%13%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSarneseCittà di Fasano
HATHAT
Clean sheets202224
Failed to score202000

Penalties

MetricSarneseCittà di Fasano
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total03

Streaks

MetricSarneseCittà di Fasano
Wins24
Draws12
Losses30

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-12-33-01-2
Biggest losses1-24-2
Goals For2332
Goals Against2412

Model comparison

MetricSarneseCittà di Fasano
Form8%92%
Att36%64%
Def29%71%
Poisson Distribution26%74%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total24.8%75.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Città di Fasano

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.15 @ Bet365
Draw3.54 @ Marathonbet
Away2.91 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.90 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.90 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.70 @ Marathonbet
No2.01 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sarnese = 0.42 (league 1.53), Città di Fasano = 1.24 (league 0.97)

Città di Fasano
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sarnese 0 19.0% 23.6% 14.6% 6.0% 1.9% 0.5%
1 8.0% 9.9% 6.1% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2%
2 1.7% 2.1% 1.3% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
3 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 12.5% · Draw 30.3% · Away win 57.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1