Serie A — Italy
Sun, Oct 26 2025 • 14:00 • MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.31 (league 1.24) 1.22 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
9.5% 30.6% 59.8%
best score tips
0 - 1
26.3%
0 - 0
21.5%
0 - 2
16.1%
Score & goals probability table
AS Roma
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sassuolo 0 21.5% 26.3% 16.1% 6.5% 2.0% 0.5%
1 6.8% 8.3% 5.0% 2.1% 0.6% 0.2%
2 1.1% 1.3% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSassuoloAS Roma
Played55
Form67%60%
Attack43%36%
Defense79%79%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.63 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

54%
FT probability

2.5+

38%
FT probability

3.5+

27%
FT probability

BTTS

58%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sassuolo AS Roma
HATHAT
Played347437
Wins67%25%43%50%100%71%
Draws0%25%14%0%0%0%
Loses33%50%43%50%0%29%

Form: Sassuolo: LLWLWWD • AS Roma: WWLWWWL

League goals

Metric Sassuolo AS Roma
HATHAT
GF total448347
GF avg1.31.01.10.81.31.0
GA total358213
GA avg1.01.31.10.50.30.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSassuoloAS Roma
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%57%71%43%
1.529%43%29%0%
2.514%14%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSassuoloAS Roma
HATHAT
Clean sheets123224
Failed to score112202

Penalties

MetricSassuoloAS Roma
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricSassuoloAS Roma
Wins23
Draws00
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-12-01-2
Biggest losses0-23-20-1—
Goals For3222
Goals Against2311

Model comparison

MetricSassuoloAS Roma
Form53%47%
Att55%45%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution21%79%
H2h38%62%
Goals47%53%
Total44.0%56.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or AS Roma and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.62 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.63 @ 1xBet
Away1.96 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.25 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.86 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.04 @ Unibet
No1.85 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sassuolo = 0.31 (league 1.24), AS Roma = 1.22 (league 1.06)

AS Roma
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sassuolo 0 21.5% 26.3% 16.1% 6.5% 2.0% 0.5%
1 6.8% 8.3% 5.0% 2.1% 0.6% 0.2%
2 1.1% 1.3% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 9.5% · Draw 30.6% · Away win 59.8%

Vtot 3 , Vtod1