Bundesliga — Germany
Sun, Oct 26 2025 • 14:30 • BayArena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.53 (league 1.53) 0.84 (league 1.55)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
53.1% 25.8% 20.6%
best score tips
1 - 0
14.3%
1 - 1
12.0%
2 - 0
10.9%
Score & goals probability table
SC Freiburg
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bayer Leverkusen 0 9.3% 7.8% 3.3% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
1 14.3% 12.0% 5.0% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.9% 9.2% 3.9% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 5.6% 4.7% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.1% 1.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBayer LeverkusenSC Freiburg
Played55
Form87%60%
Attack100%82%
Defense45%64%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.49 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

89%
FT probability

2.5+

63%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Bayer Leverkusen SC Freiburg
HATHAT
Played437437
Wins50%67%57%25%33%29%
Draws25%33%29%50%33%43%
Loses25%0%14%25%33%29%

Form: Bayer Leverkusen: LDWDWWW • SC Freiburg: LLWWDDD

League goals

Metric Bayer Leverkusen SC Freiburg
HATHAT
GF total79167411
GF avg1.83.02.31.81.31.6
GA total47117411
GA avg1.02.31.61.81.31.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBayer LeverkusenSC Freiburg
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%86%86%71%
1.571%43%43%43%
2.543%29%29%29%
3.514%0%0%14%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBayer LeverkusenSC Freiburg
HATHAT
Clean sheets101022
Failed to score000011

Penalties

MetricBayer LeverkusenSC Freiburg
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total33

Streaks

MetricBayer LeverkusenSC Freiburg
Wins12
Draws10
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-13-43-10-3
Biggest losses1-2—1-34-1
Goals For3433
Goals Against2334

Model comparison

MetricBayer LeverkusenSC Freiburg
Form59%41%
Att57%43%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution63%37%
H2h85%15%
Goals65%35%
Total61.5%38.5%

Advice: Double chance : Bayer Leverkusen or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.96 @ 188Bet
Draw3.95 @ Dafabet
Away4.50 @ Dafabet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.84 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.13 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.69 @ Pinnacle
No2.26 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Bayer Leverkusen = 1.53 (league 1.53), SC Freiburg = 0.84 (league 1.55)

SC Freiburg
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bayer Leverkusen 0 9.3% 7.8% 3.3% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
1 14.3% 12.0% 5.0% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.9% 9.2% 3.9% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 5.6% 4.7% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.1% 1.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 53.1% · Draw 25.8% · Away win 20.6%

Vtot 6 , Vtod1