Persha Liga — Ukraine
Sun, Oct 26 2025 • 12:00 • Arena Livyi Bereg
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.79 (league 1.21) 1.66 (league 1.08)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
17.6% 24.3% 57.4%
best score tips
0 - 1
14.3%
0 - 2
11.9%
1 - 1
11.3%
Score & goals probability table
Chornomorets
0 1 2 3 4 5
Livyi Bereh 0 8.6% 14.3% 11.9% 6.6% 2.7% 0.9%
1 6.8% 11.3% 9.4% 5.2% 2.2% 0.7%
2 2.7% 4.5% 3.7% 2.1% 0.9% 0.3%
3 0.7% 1.2% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLivyi BerehChornomorets
Played55
Form87%73%
Attack75%63%
Defense100%88%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)0 | 01 | 0.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Livyi Bereh Chornomorets
HATHAT
Played56116511
Wins60%67%64%67%80%73%
Draws20%0%9%33%20%27%
Loses20%33%27%0%0%0%

Form: Livyi Bereh: LWWWLLWDWWW • Chornomorets: WDWWWWWWDDW

League goals

Metric Livyi Bereh Chornomorets
HATHAT
GF total86147916
GF avg1.61.01.31.21.81.5
GA total549033
GA avg1.00.70.80.00.60.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLivyi BerehChornomorets
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.573%55%82%18%
1.545%18%45%9%
2.59%9%18%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLivyi BerehChornomorets
HATHAT
Clean sheets235639
Failed to score123202

Penalties

MetricLivyi BerehChornomorets
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricLivyi BerehChornomorets
Wins36
Draws12
Losses20

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-23-00-2
Biggest losses1-32-0——
Goals For3233
Goals Against3202

Model comparison

MetricLivyi BerehChornomorets
Form54%46%
Att55%45%
Def100%0%
Poisson Distribution34%66%
H2h67%33%
Goals60%40%
Total54.0%46.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Livyi Bereh or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.72 @ 1xBet
Draw2.90 @ Unibet
Away2.89 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.20 @ Betfair
No1.71 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.75 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.54 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Livyi Bereh = 0.79 (league 1.21), Chornomorets = 1.66 (league 1.08)

Chornomorets
0 1 2 3 4 5
Livyi Bereh 0 8.6% 14.3% 11.9% 6.6% 2.7% 0.9%
1 6.8% 11.3% 9.4% 5.2% 2.2% 0.7%
2 2.7% 4.5% 3.7% 2.1% 0.9% 0.3%
3 0.7% 1.2% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 17.6% · Draw 24.3% · Away win 57.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1