Sun, Oct 26 2025 • 17:15 • Estadio Jesus Navas
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.75 (league 1.33) 0.85 (league 0.94)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
29.6% 35.1% 35.2%
best score tips
0 - 0
20.0%
0 - 1
17.1%
1 - 0
15.1%
Score & goals probability table
Hércules
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sevilla Atletico 0 20.0% 17.1% 7.3% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1%
1 15.1% 12.9% 5.5% 1.6% 0.3% 0.1%
2 5.7% 4.9% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.4% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSevilla AtleticoHércules
Played55
Form13%47%
Attack14%100%
Defense43%29%
Goals For (tot | avg)1 | 0.27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

56%
FT probability

2.5+

39%
FT probability

3.5+

28%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sevilla Atletico Hércules
HATHAT
Played448538
Wins25%0%13%60%0%38%
Draws25%50%38%20%0%13%
Loses50%50%50%20%100%50%

Form: Sevilla Atletico: LDWLLDDL • Hércules: WLLLDLWW

League goals

Metric Sevilla Atletico Hércules
HATHAT
GF total224639
GF avg0.50.50.51.21.01.1
GA total347268
GA avg0.81.00.90.42.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSevilla AtleticoHércules
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%75%75%63%
1.50%13%25%38%
2.50%0%13%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSevilla AtleticoHércules
HATHAT
Clean sheets202303
Failed to score224202

Penalties

MetricSevilla AtleticoHércules
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricSevilla AtleticoHércules
Wins11
Draws21
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-03-0
Biggest losses1-21-00-12-1
Goals For1131
Goals Against2112

Model comparison

MetricSevilla AtleticoHércules
Form22%78%
Att13%88%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution49%51%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total40.0%60.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Hércules and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.51 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.05 @ Pinnacle
Away3.10 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.61 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.50 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.20 @ Bet365
No1.70 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sevilla Atletico = 0.75 (league 1.33), Hércules = 0.85 (league 0.94)

Hércules
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sevilla Atletico 0 20.0% 17.1% 7.3% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1%
1 15.1% 12.9% 5.5% 1.6% 0.3% 0.1%
2 5.7% 4.9% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.4% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 29.6% · Draw 35.1% · Away win 35.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1