La Liga — Spain
Sun, Oct 26 2025 • 17:30 • Estadio El Sadar
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.33 (league 1.47) 0.43 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
59.0% 28.6% 12.1%
best score tips
1 - 0
22.8%
0 - 0
17.2%
2 - 0
15.1%
Score & goals probability table
Celta Vigo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Osasuna 0 17.2% 7.5% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 22.8% 9.9% 2.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 15.1% 6.6% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 6.7% 2.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.2% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricOsasunaCelta Vigo
Played55
Form27%27%
Attack31%38%
Defense46%54%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

59%
FT probability

2.5+

41%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Osasuna Celta Vigo
HATHAT
Played459639
Wins75%0%33%0%0%0%
Draws25%0%11%83%67%78%
Loses0%100%56%17%33%22%

Form: Osasuna: LWLWLDLWL • Celta Vigo: LDDDDDLDD

League goals

Metric Osasuna Celta Vigo
HATHAT
GF total617538
GF avg1.50.20.80.81.00.9
GA total2797411
GA avg0.51.41.01.21.31.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineOsasunaCelta Vigo
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.556%78%89%100%
1.522%22%0%22%
2.50%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricOsasunaCelta Vigo
HATHAT
Clean sheets202000
Failed to score044101

Penalties

MetricOsasunaCelta Vigo
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricOsasunaCelta Vigo
Wins10
Draws15
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-0———
Biggest losses—2-00-22-1
Goals For2111
Goals Against1222

Model comparison

MetricOsasunaCelta Vigo
Form50%50%
Att44%56%
Def46%54%
Poisson Distribution76%24%
H2h50%50%
Goals45%55%
Total51.8%48.2%

Advice: Double chance : Osasuna or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.69 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.25 @ Dafabet
Away3.10 @ Dafabet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.33 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.73 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.94 @ Unibet
No1.96 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Osasuna = 1.33 (league 1.47), Celta Vigo = 0.43 (league 1.15)

Celta Vigo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Osasuna 0 17.2% 7.5% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 22.8% 9.9% 2.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 15.1% 6.6% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 6.7% 2.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.2% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 59.0% · Draw 28.6% · Away win 12.1%

Vtot 18 , Vtod1