Sun, Oct 26 2025 • 18:15 • Stade Joseph Mariën
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.97 (league 1.52) 0.23 (league 1.22)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
78.2% 16.7% 3.5%
best score tips
1 - 0
21.8%
2 - 0
21.5%
3 - 0
14.1%
Score & goals probability table
St. Truiden
0 1 2 3 4 5
Union St. Gilloise 0 11.1% 2.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 21.8% 5.0% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 21.5% 4.9% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 14.1% 3.3% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 7.0% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricUnion St. GilloiseSt. Truiden
Played55
Form80%27%
Attack80%60%
Defense70%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.66 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.610 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

78%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Union St. Gilloise St. Truiden
HATHAT
Played56116511
Wins100%50%73%50%40%45%
Draws0%33%18%17%40%27%
Loses0%17%9%33%20%27%

Form: Union St. Gilloise: DWWWDWWWWLW • St. Truiden: WDWWWDLLLWD

League goals

Metric Union St. Gilloise St. Truiden
HATHAT
GF total1572210717
GF avg3.01.22.01.71.41.5
GA total1569514
GA avg0.20.80.51.51.01.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineUnion St. GilloiseSt. Truiden
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.582%45%82%82%
1.564%9%55%36%
2.536%0%18%9%
3.59%0%0%0%
4.59%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricUnion St. GilloiseSt. Truiden
HATHAT
Clean sheets426112
Failed to score022112

Penalties

MetricUnion St. GilloiseSt. Truiden
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%3 | 75.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 25.00%
Total24

Streaks

MetricUnion St. GilloiseSt. Truiden
Wins43
Draws11
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-02-33-11-3
Biggest losses—1-00-32-0
Goals For5333
Goals Against1232

Model comparison

MetricUnion St. GilloiseSt. Truiden
Form75%25%
Att57%43%
Def77%23%
Poisson Distribution89%11%
H2h93%7%
Goals77%23%
Total78.0%22.0%

Advice: Double chance : Union St. Gilloise or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.42 @ Betano
Draw5.20 @ Unibet
Away8.00 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.60 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.50 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.86 @ 188Bet
No2.06 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Union St. Gilloise = 1.97 (league 1.52), St. Truiden = 0.23 (league 1.22)

St. Truiden
0 1 2 3 4 5
Union St. Gilloise 0 11.1% 2.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 21.8% 5.0% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 21.5% 4.9% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 14.1% 3.3% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 7.0% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 78.2% · Draw 16.7% · Away win 3.5%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1