Sun, Oct 26 2025 • 18:30 • Schauinsland-Reisen-Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.53 (league 1.62) 1.88 (league 1.41)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
54.4% 13.9% 16.1%
best score tips
3 - 1
6.2%
3 - 2
5.8%
4 - 1
5.4%
Score & goals probability table
Rot-Weiß Essen
0 1 2 3 4 5
MSV Duisburg 0 0.5% 0.8% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
1 1.6% 3.0% 2.8% 1.7% 0.8% 0.3%
2 2.8% 5.3% 4.9% 3.1% 1.4% 0.5%
3 3.3% 6.2% 5.8% 3.6% 1.7% 0.6%
4 2.9% 5.4% 5.1% 3.2% 1.5% 0.6%
5 2.0% 3.8% 3.6% 2.3% 1.1% 0.4%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMSV DuisburgRot-Weiß Essen
Played55
Form40%67%
Attack30%50%
Defense65%55%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.210 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.49 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

76%
FT probability

3.5+

54%
FT probability

BTTS

90%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric MSV Duisburg Rot-Weiß Essen
HATHAT
Played56116511
Wins80%50%64%50%40%45%
Draws20%33%27%33%40%36%
Loses0%17%9%17%20%18%

Form: MSV Duisburg: WWWWWWDWDDL • Rot-Weiß Essen: DDWLWDWLWDW

League goals

Metric MSV Duisburg Rot-Weiß Essen
HATHAT
GF total111223111122
GF avg2.22.02.11.82.22.0
GA total661261319
GA avg1.21.01.11.02.61.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMSV DuisburgRot-Weiß Essen
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.591%73%100%82%
1.573%27%55%36%
2.536%9%36%27%
3.59%0%9%9%
4.50%0%0%9%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMSV DuisburgRot-Weiß Essen
HATHAT
Clean sheets033202
Failed to score011000

Penalties

MetricMSV DuisburgRot-Weiß Essen
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricMSV DuisburgRot-Weiß Essen
Wins61
Draws22
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-43-01-3
Biggest losses3-12-36-1
Goals For3434
Goals Against2336

Model comparison

MetricMSV DuisburgRot-Weiß Essen
Form38%63%
Att38%63%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution65%35%
H2h20%80%
Goals36%64%
Total42.2%58.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Rot-Weiß Essen and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.55 @ Bet365
Draw3.50 @ Dafabet
Away3.05 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.90 @ 10Bet
Under 2.51.99 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.69 @ 188Bet
No2.27 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): MSV Duisburg = 3.53 (league 1.62), Rot-Weiß Essen = 1.88 (league 1.41)

Rot-Weiß Essen
0 1 2 3 4 5
MSV Duisburg 0 0.5% 0.8% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
1 1.6% 3.0% 2.8% 1.7% 0.8% 0.3%
2 2.8% 5.3% 4.9% 3.1% 1.4% 0.5%
3 3.3% 6.2% 5.8% 3.6% 1.7% 0.6%
4 2.9% 5.4% 5.1% 3.2% 1.5% 0.6%
5 2.0% 3.8% 3.6% 2.3% 1.1% 0.4%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 54.4% · Draw 13.9% · Away win 16.1%

vtt 4 , vtd1