Ekstraklasa — Poland
Sun, Oct 26 2025 • 19:15 • Stadion Wojska Polskiego
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.23 (league 1.69) 0.75 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
47.5% 29.8% 22.5%
best score tips
1 - 0
17.0%
0 - 0
13.8%
1 - 1
12.7%
Score & goals probability table
Lech Poznan
0 1 2 3 4 5
Legia Warszawa 0 13.8% 10.3% 3.9% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
1 17.0% 12.7% 4.8% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 10.5% 7.8% 2.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 4.3% 3.2% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.3% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLegia WarszawaLech Poznan
Played55
Form33%60%
Attack31%69%
Defense46%54%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.89 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Legia Warszawa Lech Poznan
HATHAT
Played56117411
Wins60%17%36%29%75%45%
Draws40%17%27%43%25%36%
Loses0%67%36%29%0%18%

Form: Legia Warszawa: WDWLLWDDWLL • Lech Poznan: LWWDWLWDDWD

League goals

Metric Legia Warszawa Lech Poznan
HATHAT
GF total861411920
GF avg1.61.01.31.62.31.8
GA total2101213518
GA avg0.41.71.11.91.31.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLegia WarszawaLech Poznan
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.573%64%100%82%
1.527%27%64%55%
2.518%18%9%18%
3.59%0%9%9%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLegia WarszawaLech Poznan
HATHAT
Clean sheets314022
Failed to score213000

Penalties

MetricLegia WarszawaLech Poznan
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricLegia WarszawaLech Poznan
Wins12
Draws22
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-22-10-2
Biggest losses—3-11-4—
Goals For4224
Goals Against1343

Model comparison

MetricLegia WarszawaLech Poznan
Form36%64%
Att31%69%
Def46%54%
Poisson Distribution60%40%
H2h50%50%
Goals43%57%
Total44.3%55.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Lech Poznan

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.15 @ William Hill
Draw3.85 @ Dafabet
Away3.55 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.74 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.20 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.62 @ Bet365
No2.37 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Legia Warszawa = 1.23 (league 1.69), Lech Poznan = 0.75 (league 1.23)

Lech Poznan
0 1 2 3 4 5
Legia Warszawa 0 13.8% 10.3% 3.9% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
1 17.0% 12.7% 4.8% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 10.5% 7.8% 2.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 4.3% 3.2% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.3% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 47.5% · Draw 29.8% · Away win 22.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1