1. SNL — Slovenia
Sun, Oct 26 2025 • 19:15 • Mestni stadion Fazanerija
Match Finished
2 - 1
Expected Goals
0.79 (league 1.66) 2.44 (league 1.40)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
10.2% 16.2% 69.8%
best score tips
0 - 2
11.7%
0 - 1
9.6%
0 - 3
9.5%
Score & goals probability table
Celje
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mura 0 4.0% 9.6% 11.7% 9.5% 5.8% 2.8%
1 3.1% 7.6% 9.3% 7.6% 4.6% 2.2%
2 1.2% 3.0% 3.7% 3.0% 1.8% 0.9%
3 0.3% 0.8% 1.0% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMuraCelje
Played55
Form20%73%
Attack21%86%
Defense57%64%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.612 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

91%
FT probability

2.5+

64%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Mura Celje
HATHAT
Played66125712
Wins17%0%8%80%86%83%
Draws67%17%42%20%14%17%
Loses17%83%50%0%0%0%

Form: Mura: LLDLWLDLDLDD • Celje: WWWWWWWDWWWD

League goals

Metric Mura Celje
HATHAT
GF total7310122436
GF avg1.20.50.82.43.43.0
GA total61117189
GA avg1.01.81.40.21.10.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMuraCelje
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%83%92%42%
1.525%50%92%25%
2.58%8%75%8%
3.50%0%25%0%
4.50%0%17%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMuraCelje
HATHAT
Clean sheets202437
Failed to score246101

Penalties

MetricMuraCelje
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricMuraCelje
Wins17
Draws11
Losses20

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-0—4-10-5
Biggest losses0-23-0——
Goals For3245
Goals Against2313

Model comparison

MetricMuraCelje
Form21%79%
Att20%80%
Def45%55%
Poisson Distribution27%73%
H2h29%71%
Goals36%64%
Total29.7%70.3%

Advice: Winner : Celje

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home7.00 @ 10Bet
Draw5.00 @ Bet365
Away1.46 @ Dafabet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.48 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.66 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.65 @ Pinnacle
No2.25 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Mura = 0.79 (league 1.66), Celje = 2.44 (league 1.40)

Celje
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mura 0 4.0% 9.6% 11.7% 9.5% 5.8% 2.8%
1 3.1% 7.6% 9.3% 7.6% 4.6% 2.2%
2 1.2% 3.0% 3.7% 3.0% 1.8% 0.9%
3 0.3% 0.8% 1.0% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 10.2% · Draw 16.2% · Away win 69.8%

Vtot 4 , Vtod1