Sun, Oct 26 2025 • 20:30 • Estádio Municipal de Braga
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.41 (league 1.38) 1.08 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
44.1% 26.6% 28.8%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.6%
1 - 0
11.7%
0 - 1
9.0%
Score & goals probability table
Casa Pia
0 1 2 3 4 5
SC Braga 0 8.3% 9.0% 4.8% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
1 11.7% 12.6% 6.8% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1%
2 8.2% 8.9% 4.8% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
3 3.9% 4.2% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.4% 1.5% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSC BragaCasa Pia
Played55
Form20%33%
Attack29%43%
Defense57%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.86 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

73%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric SC Braga Casa Pia
HATHAT
Played448448
Wins25%25%25%0%50%25%
Draws25%75%50%50%0%25%
Loses50%0%25%50%50%50%

Form: SC Braga: WWDDLDLD • Casa Pia: LWLLWDLD

League goals

Metric SC Braga Casa Pia
HATHAT
GF total5712358
GF avg1.31.81.50.81.31.0
GA total4487613
GA avg1.01.01.01.81.51.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSC BragaCasa Pia
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%75%63%75%
1.550%25%38%63%
2.525%0%0%13%
3.50%0%0%13%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSC BragaCasa Pia
HATHAT
Clean sheets112022
Failed to score202213

Penalties

MetricSC BragaCasa Pia
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total41

Streaks

MetricSC BragaCasa Pia
Wins21
Draws21
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-3—0-2
Biggest losses0-1—0-24-0
Goals For3322
Goals Against2224

Model comparison

MetricSC BragaCasa Pia
Form38%63%
Att40%60%
Def54%46%
Poisson Distribution57%43%
H2h50%50%
Goals53%47%
Total48.7%51.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Casa Pia

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.45 @ 1xBet
Draw4.68 @ Pinnacle
Away8.25 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.88 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.04 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.09 @ Pinnacle
No1.78 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): SC Braga = 1.41 (league 1.38), Casa Pia = 1.08 (league 1.20)

Casa Pia
0 1 2 3 4 5
SC Braga 0 8.3% 9.0% 4.8% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
1 11.7% 12.6% 6.8% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1%
2 8.2% 8.9% 4.8% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
3 3.9% 4.2% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.4% 1.5% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 44.1% · Draw 26.6% · Away win 28.8%

Vtot 3 , Vtod1