Sun, Oct 26 2025 • 22:00 • Orange Walk People's Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.22 (league 2.18) 0.54 (league 1.47)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
77.3% 8.6% 3.4%
best score tips
3 - 0
12.9%
2 - 0
12.0%
4 - 0
10.4%
Score & goals probability table
Wagiya
0 1 2 3 4 5
Progresso 0 2.3% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 7.5% 4.1% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 12.0% 6.5% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 12.9% 7.0% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 10.4% 5.6% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
5 6.7% 3.6% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricProgressoWagiya
Played55
Form60%67%
Attack60%45%
Defense60%60%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.49 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.68 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

69%
FT probability

3.5+

49%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Progresso Wagiya
HATHAT
Played4610549
Wins75%33%50%60%0%33%
Draws0%33%20%20%25%22%
Loses25%33%30%20%75%44%

Form: Progresso: DDWWLLLWWW • Wagiya: LLLDWWWDL

League goals

Metric Progresso Wagiya
HATHAT
GF total1112238311
GF avg2.82.02.31.60.81.2
GA total491371017
GA avg1.01.51.31.42.51.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineProgressoWagiya
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.590%60%67%78%
1.560%40%33%67%
2.540%20%11%33%
3.530%10%11%11%
4.510%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricProgressoWagiya
HATHAT
Clean sheets224202
Failed to score011123

Penalties

MetricProgressoWagiya
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricProgressoWagiya
Wins23
Draws21
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-10-44-2—
Biggest losses2-34-11-43-0
Goals For5442
Goals Against3443

Model comparison

MetricProgressoWagiya
Form47%53%
Att57%43%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution83%17%
H2h80%20%
Goals82%18%
Total66.5%33.5%

Advice: Double chance : Progresso or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Progresso = 3.22 (league 2.18), Wagiya = 0.54 (league 1.47)

Wagiya
0 1 2 3 4 5
Progresso 0 2.3% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 7.5% 4.1% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 12.0% 6.5% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 12.9% 7.0% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 10.4% 5.6% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
5 6.7% 3.6% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 77.3% · Draw 8.6% · Away win 3.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1