Ligue 2 — France
Tue, Oct 28 2025 • 19:30 • Stade Marcel Picot
Match Finished
2 - 0
Expected Goals
0.33 (league 1.44) 0.34 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
21.2% 56.9% 21.8%
best score tips
0 - 0
51.0%
0 - 1
17.4%
1 - 0
17.0%
Score & goals probability table
Bastia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nancy 0 51.0% 17.4% 3.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 17.0% 5.8% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 2.8% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNancyBastia
Played55
Form27%13%
Attack33%13%
Defense40%60%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 12 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.86 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

46%
FT probability

2.5+

33%
FT probability

3.5+

23%
FT probability

BTTS

49%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Nancy Bastia
HATHAT
Played56114610
Wins20%33%27%0%0%0%
Draws20%33%27%50%33%40%
Loses60%33%45%50%67%60%

Form: Nancy: DWWDLLWLDLL • Bastia: DLLDLLLDDL

League goals

Metric Nancy Bastia
HATHAT
GF total3811404
GF avg0.61.31.01.00.00.4
GA total511167512
GA avg1.01.81.51.80.81.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNancyBastia
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.555%82%30%70%
1.536%36%10%30%
2.59%18%0%20%
3.50%9%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNancyBastia
HATHAT
Clean sheets112123
Failed to score325167

Penalties

MetricNancyBastia
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricNancyBastia
Wins20
Draws12
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-01-3——
Biggest losses0-14-11-32-0
Goals For2320
Goals Against2432

Model comparison

MetricNancyBastia
Form67%33%
Att71%29%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h62%38%
Goals50%50%
Total58.0%42.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Nancy or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.50 @ 10Bet
Draw3.17 @ Pinnacle
Away3.10 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.49 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.57 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.11 @ Pinnacle
No1.76 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Nancy = 0.33 (league 1.44), Bastia = 0.34 (league 1.17)

Bastia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nancy 0 51.0% 17.4% 3.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 17.0% 5.8% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 2.8% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 21.2% · Draw 56.9% · Away win 21.8%

Vtot 3 , Vtod1