Ligue 2 — France
Tue, Oct 28 2025 • 19:30 • Stade Geoffroy-Guichard
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.66 (league 1.44) 2.76 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
21.2% 17.3% 54.6%
best score tips
1 - 2
7.6%
1 - 3
7.0%
2 - 2
6.3%
Score & goals probability table
PAU
0 1 2 3 4 5
Saint Etienne 0 1.2% 3.3% 4.6% 4.2% 2.9% 1.6%
1 2.0% 5.5% 7.6% 7.0% 4.8% 2.7%
2 1.7% 4.6% 6.3% 5.8% 4.0% 2.2%
3 0.9% 2.5% 3.5% 3.2% 2.2% 1.2%
4 0.4% 1.1% 1.5% 1.3% 0.9% 0.5%
5 0.1% 0.4% 0.5% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSaint EtiennePAU
Played55
Form40%67%
Attack47%47%
Defense33%60%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

93%
FT probability

2.5+

65%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

79%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Saint Etienne PAU
HATHAT
Played56116511
Wins40%67%55%67%40%55%
Draws20%17%18%0%60%27%
Loses40%17%27%33%0%18%

Form: Saint Etienne: DWWDWWWLWLL • PAU: WDWDLWWWWDL

League goals

Metric Saint Etienne PAU
HATHAT
GF total129218917
GF avg2.41.51.91.31.81.5
GA total98177512
GA avg1.81.31.51.21.01.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSaint EtiennePAU
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.591%64%82%64%
1.564%45%55%27%
2.527%36%18%18%
3.59%9%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSaint EtiennePAU
HATHAT
Clean sheets134314
Failed to score011202

Penalties

MetricSaint EtiennePAU
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricSaint EtiennePAU
Wins34
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-23-10-3
Biggest losses2-34-00-3—
Goals For4333
Goals Against3432

Model comparison

MetricSaint EtiennePAU
Form38%63%
Att50%50%
Def38%63%
Poisson Distribution42%58%
H2h64%36%
Goals60%40%
Total48.7%51.7%

Advice: Double chance : Saint Etienne or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.68 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.10 @ Unibet
Away4.98 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.57 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.54 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.61 @ Unibet
No2.42 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Saint Etienne = 1.66 (league 1.44), PAU = 2.76 (league 1.17)

PAU
0 1 2 3 4 5
Saint Etienne 0 1.2% 3.3% 4.6% 4.2% 2.9% 1.6%
1 2.0% 5.5% 7.6% 7.0% 4.8% 2.7%
2 1.7% 4.6% 6.3% 5.8% 4.0% 2.2%
3 0.9% 2.5% 3.5% 3.2% 2.2% 1.2%
4 0.4% 1.1% 1.5% 1.3% 0.9% 0.5%
5 0.1% 0.4% 0.5% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 21.2% · Draw 17.3% · Away win 54.6%

Vtot 5 , Vtod1