Tue, Oct 28 2025 • 19:30 •
The Memorial Playing Fields
Expected Goals
2.18 (league 1.71)
0.51 (league 1.52)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 73.7% | 16.7% | 7.2% |
best score tips
2 - 0
16.2%
1 - 0
14.9%
3 - 0
11.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Fareham Town | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Hartley Wintney | 0 | 6.8% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 14.9% | 7.5% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 16.2% | 8.2% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 11.8% | 5.9% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 6.4% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Hartley Wintney | Fareham Town |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 7% |
| Attack | 38% | 38% |
| Defense | 38% | 15% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 11 | 2.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
86%
FT probability
2.5+
60%
FT probability
3.5+
43%
FT probability
BTTS
66%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Hartley Wintney | Fareham Town | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 6 | 7 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 14 |
| Wins | 33% | 57% | 46% | 14% | 14% | 14% |
| Draws | 50% | 14% | 31% | 29% | 14% | 21% |
| Loses | 17% | 29% | 23% | 57% | 71% | 64% |
Form: Hartley Wintney: WWLDWLWDLWDWD • Fareham Town: LLWWLDLLDLLLLD
League goals
| Metric | Hartley Wintney | Fareham Town | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 7 | 10 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 15 |
| GF avg | 1.2 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 4 | 10 | 14 | 12 | 22 | 34 |
| GA avg | 0.7 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 1.7 | 3.1 | 2.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Hartley Wintney | Fareham Town | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 77% | 54% | 71% | 79% |
| 1.5 | 31% | 31% | 21% | 64% |
| 2.5 | 15% | 8% | 7% | 36% |
| 3.5 | 8% | 8% | 7% | 21% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 8% | 0% | 14% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Hartley Wintney | Fareham Town | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Hartley Wintney | Fareham Town |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Hartley Wintney | Fareham Town |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 1-4 | 1-0 | 0-4 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 5-0 | 0-3 | 7-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 5 | 3 | 7 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Hartley Wintney | Fareham Town |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 89% | 11% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 58% | 42% |
| Poisson Distribution | 79% | 21% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 0% | 100% |
| Total | 69.0% | 31.0% |
Advice: Double chance : Hartley Wintney or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Hartley Wintney = 2.18 (league 1.71), Fareham Town = 0.51 (league 1.52)
| Fareham Town | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Hartley Wintney | 0 | 6.8% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 14.9% | 7.5% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 16.2% | 8.2% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 11.8% | 5.9% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 6.4% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 73.7% · Draw 16.7% · Away win 7.2%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1