Wed, Oct 29 2025 • 00:30 • Arena MRV
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.40 (league 1.43) 1.51 (league 0.93)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
34.8% 24.7% 39.8%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.5%
1 - 2
8.7%
0 - 1
8.3%
Score & goals probability table
Independiente del Valle
0 1 2 3 4 5
Atletico-MG 0 5.5% 8.3% 6.2% 3.1% 1.2% 0.4%
1 7.6% 11.5% 8.7% 4.4% 1.7% 0.5%
2 5.3% 8.0% 6.1% 3.1% 1.2% 0.4%
3 2.5% 3.7% 2.8% 1.4% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.9% 1.3% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAtletico-MGIndependiente del Valle
Played55
Form73%53%
Attack54%54%
Defense69%62%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Atletico-MG Independiente del Valle
HATHAT
Played6713437
Wins67%29%46%50%33%43%
Draws33%57%46%25%67%43%
Loses0%14%8%25%0%14%

Form: Atletico-MG: DWDLWDWDWWDWD • Independiente del Valle: WDWDLWD

League goals

Metric Atletico-MG Independiente del Valle
HATHAT
GF total128206612
GF avg2.01.11.51.52.01.7
GA total4711336
GA avg0.71.00.80.81.00.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAtletico-MGIndependiente del Valle
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.592%62%86%57%
1.538%15%43%29%
2.515%8%29%0%
3.58%0%14%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAtletico-MGIndependiente del Valle
HATHAT
Clean sheets235213
Failed to score011101

Penalties

MetricAtletico-MGIndependiente del Valle
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total31

Streaks

MetricAtletico-MGIndependiente del Valle
Wins21
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-14-00-3
Biggest losses—3-20-2—
Goals For4243
Goals Against1322

Model comparison

MetricAtletico-MGIndependiente del Valle
Form58%42%
Att50%50%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution51%49%
H2h71%29%
Goals63%38%
Total58.2%42.0%

Advice: Double chance : Atletico-MG or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.72 @ Betano
Draw3.70 @ Bet365
Away6.70 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.60 @ Betano
Under 2.51.56 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.50 @ Bet365
No1.67 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Atletico-MG = 1.40 (league 1.43), Independiente del Valle = 1.51 (league 0.93)

Independiente del Valle
0 1 2 3 4 5
Atletico-MG 0 5.5% 8.3% 6.2% 3.1% 1.2% 0.4%
1 7.6% 11.5% 8.7% 4.4% 1.7% 0.5%
2 5.3% 8.0% 6.1% 3.1% 1.2% 0.4%
3 2.5% 3.7% 2.8% 1.4% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.9% 1.3% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 34.8% · Draw 24.7% · Away win 39.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1