Ligue 1 — France
Wed, Oct 29 2025 • 18:00 • Stade Saint-Symphorien
Not Started
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Expected Goals
0.17 (league 1.74) 0.98 (league 1.33)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
6.4% 37.1% 56.4%
best score tips
0 - 0
31.6%
0 - 1
31.0%
0 - 2
15.2%
Score & goals probability table
Lens
0 1 2 3 4 5
Metz 0 31.6% 31.0% 15.2% 5.0% 1.2% 0.2%
1 5.4% 5.3% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 0.5% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMetzLens
Played55
Form13%87%
Attack25%75%
Defense0%75%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.69 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)13 | 2.63 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

59%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Metz Lens
HATHAT
Played448549
Wins0%0%0%80%50%67%
Draws50%0%25%0%25%11%
Loses50%100%75%20%25%22%

Form: Metz: LLLDLDLL • Lens: LWWLWDWWW

League goals

Metric Metz Lens
HATHAT
GF total14510414
GF avg0.31.00.62.01.01.6
GA total51520448
GA avg1.33.82.50.81.00.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMetzLens
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.538%88%67%78%
1.525%63%67%11%
2.50%63%22%0%
3.50%25%0%0%
4.50%13%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMetzLens
HATHAT
Clean sheets101112
Failed to score325123

Penalties

MetricMetzLens
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total13

Streaks

MetricMetzLens
Wins02
Draws11
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins——3-01-2
Biggest losses0-34-00-12-0
Goals For1232
Goals Against3512

Model comparison

MetricMetzLens
Form13%87%
Att25%75%
Def19%81%
Poisson Distribution12%88%
H2h50%50%
Goals42%58%
Total26.8%73.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Lens

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home6.22 @ 1xBet
Draw4.26 @ Pinnacle
Away1.79 @ Dafabet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.91 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.07 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.91 @ Bet365
No1.95 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Metz = 0.17 (league 1.74), Lens = 0.98 (league 1.33)

Lens
0 1 2 3 4 5
Metz 0 31.6% 31.0% 15.2% 5.0% 1.2% 0.2%
1 5.4% 5.3% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 0.5% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 6.4% · Draw 37.1% · Away win 56.4%

Vtot 2 , Vtod2