Ligue 1 — France
Wed, Oct 29 2025 • 18:00 • Allianz Riviera
Match Finished
2 - 0
Expected Goals
1.70 (league 1.70) 2.36 (league 1.27)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
26.9% 19.6% 49.5%
best score tips
1 - 2
8.2%
2 - 2
6.9%
1 - 1
6.9%
Score & goals probability table
Lille
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nice 0 1.7% 4.1% 4.8% 3.8% 2.2% 1.1%
1 2.9% 6.9% 8.2% 6.4% 3.8% 1.8%
2 2.5% 5.9% 6.9% 5.5% 3.2% 1.5%
3 1.4% 3.3% 3.9% 3.1% 1.8% 0.9%
4 0.6% 1.4% 1.7% 1.3% 0.8% 0.4%
5 0.2% 0.5% 0.6% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNiceLille
Played55
Form53%47%
Attack56%56%
Defense38%63%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.89 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

72%
FT probability

3.5+

51%
FT probability

BTTS

79%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Nice Lille
HATHAT
Played549549
Wins60%25%44%60%50%56%
Draws20%25%22%20%25%22%
Loses20%50%33%20%25%22%

Form: Nice: LWLWLDDWW • Lille: DWWWLLDWW

League goals

Metric Nice Lille
HATHAT
GF total8614101222
GF avg1.61.51.62.03.02.4
GA total510154711
GA avg1.02.51.70.81.81.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNiceLille
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.589%89%78%78%
1.544%44%56%22%
2.522%22%33%22%
3.50%11%22%0%
4.50%0%22%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNiceLille
HATHAT
Clean sheets101112
Failed to score101112

Penalties

MetricNiceLille
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricNiceLille
Wins13
Draws21
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-26-11-7
Biggest losses0-14-10-13-0
Goals For3267
Goals Against2413

Model comparison

MetricNiceLille
Form53%47%
Att50%50%
Def38%63%
Poisson Distribution38%62%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total46.5%53.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Lille

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.71 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.68 @ 1xBet
Away2.75 @ Dafabet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.76 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.24 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.61 @ Pinnacle
No2.43 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Nice = 1.70 (league 1.70), Lille = 2.36 (league 1.27)

Lille
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nice 0 1.7% 4.1% 4.8% 3.8% 2.2% 1.1%
1 2.9% 6.9% 8.2% 6.4% 3.8% 1.8%
2 2.5% 5.9% 6.9% 5.5% 3.2% 1.5%
3 1.4% 3.3% 3.9% 3.1% 1.8% 0.9%
4 0.6% 1.4% 1.7% 1.3% 0.8% 0.4%
5 0.2% 0.5% 0.6% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 26.9% · Draw 19.6% · Away win 49.5%

Vtot 12 , Vtod1