Carioca - 2 — Brazil
Wed, Nov 5 2025 • 18:00 • Estádio Joaquim de Almeida Flores
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.37 (league 1.07) 0.35 (league 0.86)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
23.3% 55.1% 21.6%
best score tips
0 - 0
48.5%
1 - 0
18.1%
0 - 1
17.0%
Score & goals probability table
Campo Grande
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nova Cidade 0 48.5% 17.0% 3.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 18.1% 6.3% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 3.4% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNova CidadeCampo Grande
Played55
Form33%40%
Attack33%33%
Defense56%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.63 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.83 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

38%
FT probability

2.5+

27%
FT probability

3.5+

19%
FT probability

BTTS

45%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Nova Cidade Campo Grande
HATHAT
Played459549
Wins0%40%22%0%50%22%
Draws75%20%44%80%50%67%
Loses25%40%33%20%0%11%

Form: Nova Cidade: LDDWLWDLD • Campo Grande: DWDDDDWDL

League goals

Metric Nova Cidade Campo Grande
HATHAT
GF total077448
GF avg0.01.40.80.81.00.9
GA total189527
GA avg0.31.61.01.00.50.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNova CidadeCampo Grande
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.544%44%78%78%
1.533%22%11%0%
2.50%11%0%0%
3.50%11%0%0%
4.50%11%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNova CidadeCampo Grande
HATHAT
Clean sheets325022
Failed to score415112

Penalties

MetricNova CidadeCampo Grande
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricNova CidadeCampo Grande
Wins11
Draws24
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—0-2—1-2
Biggest losses0-15-20-1—
Goals For0212
Goals Against1511

Model comparison

MetricNova CidadeCampo Grande
Form45%55%
Att50%50%
Def43%57%
Poisson Distribution0%100%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total47.6%52.4%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Campo Grande and -2.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.70 @ Betfair
Draw2.80 @ Bet365
Away3.00 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.22 @ Superbet
No1.65 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.78 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.44 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Nova Cidade = 0.37 (league 1.07), Campo Grande = 0.35 (league 0.86)

Campo Grande
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nova Cidade 0 48.5% 17.0% 3.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 18.1% 6.3% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 3.4% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 23.3% · Draw 55.1% · Away win 21.6%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1