Carioca - 2
— Brazil
Wed, Oct 29 2025 • 18:00 •
Estádio Mourão Filho
Expected Goals
1.91 (league 1.02)
0.82 (league 0.91)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 61.7% | 21.5% | 15.4% |
best score tips
1 - 0
12.5%
2 - 0
11.9%
1 - 1
10.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Friburguense | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Paduano | 0 | 6.5% | 5.4% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 12.5% | 10.2% | 4.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.9% | 9.8% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 7.6% | 6.2% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Paduano | Friburguense |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 20% | 7% |
| Attack | 27% | 13% |
| Defense | 47% | 53% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 2 | 0.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
63%
FT probability
2.5+
44%
FT probability
3.5+
31%
FT probability
BTTS
63%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Paduano | Friburguense | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| Wins | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | 0% | 13% |
| Draws | 0% | 25% | 13% | 0% | 25% | 13% |
| Loses | 75% | 50% | 63% | 75% | 75% | 75% |
Form: Paduano: WDLWLLLL • Friburguense: LLWLLDLL
League goals
| Metric | Paduano | Friburguense | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 5 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.4 |
| GA total | 6 | 5 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 9 |
| GA avg | 1.5 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 1.5 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Paduano | Friburguense | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 50% | 88% | 38% | 88% |
| 1.5 | 25% | 50% | 0% | 13% |
| 2.5 | 13% | 0% | 0% | 13% |
| 3.5 | 13% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 13% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Paduano | Friburguense | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Paduano | Friburguense |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Paduano | Friburguense |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-2 | 1-2 | 1-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 2-1 | 0-1 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Paduano | Friburguense |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 75% | 25% |
| Att | 67% | 33% |
| Def | 47% | 53% |
| Poisson Distribution | 71% | 29% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 0% | 100% |
| Total | 65.0% | 35.0% |
Advice: Double chance : Paduano or draw
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Paduano = 1.91 (league 1.02), Friburguense = 0.82 (league 0.91)
| Friburguense | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Paduano | 0 | 6.5% | 5.4% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 12.5% | 10.2% | 4.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.9% | 9.8% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 7.6% | 6.2% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 61.7% · Draw 21.5% · Away win 15.4%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1