Wed, Oct 29 2025 • 20:00 • Tony Bezzina Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.77 (league 1.15) 0.81 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
59.3% 23.0% 16.7%
best score tips
1 - 0
13.4%
2 - 0
11.9%
1 - 1
10.9%
Score & goals probability table
Zabbar St. Patrick
0 1 2 3 4 5
Marsaxlokk 0 7.6% 6.1% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 13.4% 10.9% 4.4% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.9% 9.6% 3.9% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 7.0% 5.7% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 3.1% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.1% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMarsaxlokkZabbar St. Patrick
Played55
Form33%33%
Attack33%42%
Defense58%42%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

68%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Marsaxlokk Zabbar St. Patrick
HATHAT
Played549639
Wins40%50%44%17%0%11%
Draws20%25%22%33%67%44%
Loses40%25%33%50%33%44%

Form: Marsaxlokk: WWLWLLDWD • Zabbar St. Patrick: LDDLDLWLD

League goals

Metric Marsaxlokk Zabbar St. Patrick
HATHAT
GF total6511639
GF avg1.21.31.21.01.01.0
GA total5498513
GA avg1.01.01.01.31.71.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMarsaxlokkZabbar St. Patrick
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.578%56%78%89%
1.533%33%22%44%
2.511%11%0%11%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMarsaxlokkZabbar St. Patrick
HATHAT
Clean sheets224101
Failed to score202202

Penalties

MetricMarsaxlokkZabbar St. Patrick
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricMarsaxlokkZabbar St. Patrick
Wins21
Draws12
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-22-0—
Biggest losses0-23-10-23-1
Goals For3221
Goals Against2323

Model comparison

MetricMarsaxlokkZabbar St. Patrick
Form50%50%
Att44%56%
Def58%42%
Poisson Distribution66%34%
H2h91%9%
Goals69%31%
Total63.0%37.0%

Advice: Double chance : Marsaxlokk or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.95 @ William Hill
Draw3.40 @ Bet365
Away4.15 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.93 @ 188Bet
No1.87 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.11 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.70 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Marsaxlokk = 1.77 (league 1.15), Zabbar St. Patrick = 0.81 (league 1.24)

Zabbar St. Patrick
0 1 2 3 4 5
Marsaxlokk 0 7.6% 6.1% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 13.4% 10.9% 4.4% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.9% 9.6% 3.9% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 7.0% 5.7% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 3.1% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.1% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 59.3% · Draw 23.0% · Away win 16.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1