Sun, Oct 26 2025 • 21:30 • Subaru Park
Penalty in progress
Expected Goals
3.79 (league 1.16) 2.35 (league 0.96)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
46.7% 13.8% 18.5%
best score tips
3 - 2
5.4%
4 - 2
5.1%
3 - 1
4.6%
Score & goals probability table
Chicago Fire
0 1 2 3 4 5
Philadelphia Union 0 0.2% 0.5% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1%
1 0.8% 1.9% 2.2% 1.8% 1.0% 0.5%
2 1.5% 3.6% 4.3% 3.3% 2.0% 0.9%
3 2.0% 4.6% 5.4% 4.2% 2.5% 1.2%
4 1.9% 4.4% 5.1% 4.0% 2.4% 1.1%
5 1.4% 3.3% 3.9% 3.0% 1.8% 0.8%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPhiladelphia UnionChicago Fire
Played55
Form60%73%
Attack42%74%
Defense53%58%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.614 | 2.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.88 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

70%
FT probability

3.5+

50%
FT probability

BTTS

77%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Philadelphia Union Chicago Fire
HATHAT
Played171734181735
Wins71%47%59%39%53%46%
Draws24%12%18%33%12%23%
Loses6%41%24%28%35%31%

Form: Philadelphia Union: WWWLWLDLWWWDWWDWDWWLLWWDWDLWWLWWWL • Chicago Fire: LDWWWDLDLLDWWLWWLLWLLDWWDWLWLWWWDDW

League goals

Metric Philadelphia Union Chicago Fire
HATHAT
GF total362157284371
GF avg2.11.21.71.62.52.0
GA total152035263561
GA avg0.91.21.01.42.11.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePhiladelphia UnionChicago Fire
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.576%59%86%83%
1.547%24%66%54%
2.526%9%31%20%
3.512%3%9%9%
4.53%3%6%3%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPhiladelphia UnionChicago Fire
HATHAT
Clean sheets8614426
Failed to score178415

Penalties

MetricPhiladelphia UnionChicago Fire
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total25

Streaks

MetricPhiladelphia UnionChicago Fire
Wins33
Draws12
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-63-11-7
Biggest losses1-37-01-37-2
Goals For4637
Goals Against3737

Model comparison

MetricPhiladelphia UnionChicago Fire
Form45%55%
Att36%64%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution62%38%
H2h62%38%
Goals60%40%
Total52.0%48.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Philadelphia Union or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.88 @ 188Bet
Draw4.10 @ Betano
Away4.00 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.57 @ Betano
Under 2.52.53 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.54 @ Unibet
No2.56 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Philadelphia Union = 3.79 (league 1.16), Chicago Fire = 2.35 (league 0.96)

Chicago Fire
0 1 2 3 4 5
Philadelphia Union 0 0.2% 0.5% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1%
1 0.8% 1.9% 2.2% 1.8% 1.0% 0.5%
2 1.5% 3.6% 4.3% 3.3% 2.0% 0.9%
3 2.0% 4.6% 5.4% 4.2% 2.5% 1.2%
4 1.9% 4.4% 5.1% 4.0% 2.4% 1.1%
5 1.4% 3.3% 3.9% 3.0% 1.8% 0.8%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 46.7% · Draw 13.8% · Away win 18.5%

Vtot 5 , Vtod1