Esiliiga B — Estonia
Sat, Nov 1 2025 • 10:30 • Ülenurme staadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.65 (league 2.14) 1.28 (league 1.98)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
61.4% 16.9% 16.2%
best score tips
2 - 1
8.8%
3 - 1
7.8%
2 - 0
6.9%
Score & goals probability table
Legion
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tartu Kalev 0 2.0% 2.5% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
1 5.2% 6.7% 4.3% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1%
2 6.9% 8.8% 5.6% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2%
3 6.1% 7.8% 5.0% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
4 4.1% 5.2% 3.3% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
5 2.1% 2.7% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTartu KalevLegion
Played55
Form47%7%
Attack67%18%
Defense64%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)22 | 4.46 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)12 | 2.422 | 4.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

80%
FT probability

3.5+

57%
FT probability

BTTS

77%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Tartu Kalev Legion
HATHAT
Played171734171734
Wins47%59%53%18%53%35%
Draws12%12%12%35%0%18%
Loses41%29%35%47%47%47%

Form: Tartu Kalev: WWLWWWLLWWLWLWLLLWWWWDWLLWDDWLDLWW • Legion: DWDWDWWLLWLLWDWDLWWWLWLLLLLWLLLDLL

League goals

Metric Tartu Kalev Legion
HATHAT
GF total364076253661
GF avg2.12.42.21.52.11.8
GA total202444404686
GA avg1.21.41.32.42.72.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTartu KalevLegion
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.579%65%76%88%
1.544%32%53%68%
2.532%21%29%44%
3.518%6%15%24%
4.515%3%3%18%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTartu KalevLegion
HATHAT
Clean sheets5712224
Failed to score527448

Penalties

MetricTartu KalevLegion
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total52

Streaks

MetricTartu KalevLegion
Wins43
Draws21
Losses35

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins10-00-72-01-6
Biggest losses0-46-10-46-0
Goals For10936
Goals Against4657

Model comparison

MetricTartu KalevLegion
Form88%13%
Att79%21%
Def65%35%
Poisson Distribution68%32%
H2h60%40%
Goals82%18%
Total73.7%26.5%

Advice: Combo Winner : Tartu Kalev and +2.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.53 @ 1xBet
Draw4.60 @ 1xBet
Away4.75 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.33 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.95 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.46 @ Unibet
No2.48 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Tartu Kalev = 2.65 (league 2.14), Legion = 1.28 (league 1.98)

Legion
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tartu Kalev 0 2.0% 2.5% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
1 5.2% 6.7% 4.3% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1%
2 6.9% 8.8% 5.6% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2%
3 6.1% 7.8% 5.0% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
4 4.1% 5.2% 3.3% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
5 2.1% 2.7% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 61.4% · Draw 16.9% · Away win 16.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1