Sat, Nov 1 2025 • 13:00 •
Stade Peace Park Progress
Expected Goals
1.86 (league 1.49)
0.29 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 74.8% | 18.9% | 5.1% |
best score tips
1 - 0
21.6%
2 - 0
20.1%
3 - 0
12.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Rukinzo | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Aigle Noir | 0 | 11.7% | 3.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 21.6% | 6.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 20.1% | 5.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 12.4% | 3.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 5.8% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Aigle Noir | Rukinzo |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 87% | 40% |
| Attack | 75% | 30% |
| Defense | 80% | 70% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 15 | 3 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
76%
FT probability
2.5+
53%
FT probability
3.5+
38%
FT probability
BTTS
66%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Aigle Noir | Rukinzo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 9 |
| Wins | 100% | 75% | 86% | 50% | 40% | 44% |
| Draws | 0% | 25% | 14% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 50% | 60% | 56% |
Form: Aigle Noir: WWWWDWW • Rukinzo: LLWWLLWWL
League goals
| Metric | Aigle Noir | Rukinzo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 7 | 12 | 19 | 6 | 6 | 12 |
| GF avg | 2.3 | 3.0 | 2.7 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 9 |
| GA avg | 0.3 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Aigle Noir | Rukinzo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 43% | 78% | 56% |
| 1.5 | 71% | 14% | 33% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 29% | 0% | 22% | 11% |
| 3.5 | 29% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 14% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Aigle Noir | Rukinzo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Aigle Noir | Rukinzo |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Aigle Noir | Rukinzo |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 1-7 | 3-0 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | — | — | 1-2 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 7 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Aigle Noir | Rukinzo |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 68% | 32% |
| Att | 71% | 29% |
| Def | 60% | 40% |
| Poisson Distribution | 85% | 15% |
| H2h | 40% | 60% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 62.3% | 37.7% |
Advice: Winner : Aigle Noir
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Aigle Noir = 1.86 (league 1.49), Rukinzo = 0.29 (league 1.23)
| Rukinzo | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Aigle Noir | 0 | 11.7% | 3.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 21.6% | 6.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 20.1% | 5.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 12.4% | 3.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 5.8% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 74.8% · Draw 18.9% · Away win 5.1%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1