Sat, Nov 1 2025 • 13:00 •
Moi International Sports Centre
Expected Goals
1.48 (league 1.01)
0.41 (league 0.84)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 63.7% | 25.7% | 10.1% |
best score tips
1 - 0
22.2%
2 - 0
16.5%
0 - 0
15.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Ulinzi Stars | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| GOR Mahia | 0 | 15.0% | 6.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 22.2% | 9.2% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 16.5% | 6.8% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 8.2% | 3.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | GOR Mahia | Ulinzi Stars |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 4 | 5 |
| Form | 75% | 33% |
| Attack | 55% | 27% |
| Defense | 91% | 55% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.5 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 1 | 0.3 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
51%
FT probability
2.5+
36%
FT probability
3.5+
25%
FT probability
BTTS
47%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | GOR Mahia | Ulinzi Stars | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| Wins | 50% | 100% | 75% | 0% | 33% | 20% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 50% | 33% | 40% |
| Loses | 50% | 0% | 25% | 50% | 33% | 40% |
Form: GOR Mahia: LWWW • Ulinzi Stars: WDDLL
League goals
| Metric | GOR Mahia | Ulinzi Stars | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.6 |
| GA total | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| GA avg | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | GOR Mahia | Ulinzi Stars | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 75% | 25% | 60% | 40% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 0% | 0% | 40% |
| 2.5 | 25% | 0% | 0% | 20% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | GOR Mahia | Ulinzi Stars | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | GOR Mahia | Ulinzi Stars |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | GOR Mahia | Ulinzi Stars |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-2 | — | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | — | 1-2 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | GOR Mahia | Ulinzi Stars |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 64% | 36% |
| Att | 67% | 33% |
| Def | 83% | 17% |
| Poisson Distribution | 86% | 14% |
| H2h | 93% | 7% |
| Goals | 82% | 18% |
| Total | 79.2% | 20.8% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : GOR Mahia or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): GOR Mahia = 1.48 (league 1.01), Ulinzi Stars = 0.41 (league 0.84)
| Ulinzi Stars | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| GOR Mahia | 0 | 15.0% | 6.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 22.2% | 9.2% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 16.5% | 6.8% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 8.2% | 3.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 63.7% · Draw 25.7% · Away win 10.1%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1