Sat, Nov 1 2025 • 13:30 • Stadio Giuseppe Capozza
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.97 (league 1.54) 0.51 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
45.6% 35.5% 18.9%
best score tips
0 - 0
22.7%
1 - 0
22.1%
0 - 1
11.6%
Score & goals probability table
SS Monopoli
0 1 2 3 4 5
Casarano 0 22.7% 11.6% 3.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 22.1% 11.3% 2.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 10.7% 5.5% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 3.5% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCasaranoSS Monopoli
Played55
Form47%47%
Attack47%21%
Defense58%79%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.84 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.64 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

56%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Casarano SS Monopoli
HATHAT
Played65116511
Wins50%40%45%33%60%45%
Draws33%20%27%33%20%27%
Loses17%40%27%33%20%27%

Form: Casarano: DLWWWDDWWLL • SS Monopoli: DWLWWDLDLWW

League goals

Metric Casarano SS Monopoli
HATHAT
GF total911208412
GF avg1.52.21.81.30.81.1
GA total414187512
GA avg0.72.81.61.21.01.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCasaranoSS Monopoli
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.582%55%64%64%
1.564%45%36%27%
2.536%27%9%9%
3.50%18%0%9%
4.50%9%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCasaranoSS Monopoli
HATHAT
Clean sheets415134
Failed to score202224

Penalties

MetricCasaranoSS Monopoli
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricCasaranoSS Monopoli
Wins32
Draws21
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-33-11-2
Biggest losses0-26-20-24-0
Goals For3332
Goals Against2624

Model comparison

MetricCasaranoSS Monopoli
Form50%50%
Att69%31%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution67%33%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total54.8%45.3%

Advice: Double chance : Casarano or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.97 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.40 @ Unibet
Away3.79 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.10 @ 10Bet
Under 2.51.95 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.87 @ Betfair
No2.00 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Casarano = 0.97 (league 1.54), SS Monopoli = 0.51 (league 1.10)

SS Monopoli
0 1 2 3 4 5
Casarano 0 22.7% 11.6% 3.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 22.1% 11.3% 2.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 10.7% 5.5% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 3.5% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 45.6% · Draw 35.5% · Away win 18.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1