Sat, Nov 1 2025 • 13:30 • Sinergy Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.82 (league 1.43) 0.75 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
61.9% 22.2% 14.8%
best score tips
1 - 0
13.9%
2 - 0
12.7%
1 - 1
10.4%
Score & goals probability table
Real Calepina
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chievo 0 7.7% 5.7% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 13.9% 10.4% 3.9% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.7% 9.5% 3.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 7.7% 5.8% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 3.5% 2.6% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.3% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricChievoReal Calepina
Played55
Form87%27%
Attack92%50%
Defense67%17%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.810 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

86%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Chievo Real Calepina
HATHAT
Played459549
Wins100%60%78%20%50%33%
Draws0%20%11%40%0%22%
Loses0%20%11%40%50%44%

Form: Chievo: WWLWDWWWW • Real Calepina: LWDWWLLLD

League goals

Metric Chievo Real Calepina
HATHAT
GF total811197714
GF avg2.02.22.11.41.81.6
GA total27910515
GA avg0.51.41.02.01.31.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineChievoReal Calepina
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%67%78%78%
1.578%22%56%56%
2.522%11%22%33%
3.511%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricChievoReal Calepina
HATHAT
Clean sheets213022
Failed to score000112

Penalties

MetricChievoReal Calepina
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total23

Streaks

MetricChievoReal Calepina
Wins22
Draws11
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-11-33-10-3
Biggest losses—3-20-32-0
Goals For4333
Goals Against1333

Model comparison

MetricChievoReal Calepina
Form76%24%
Att65%35%
Def71%29%
Poisson Distribution77%23%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total72.3%27.8%

Advice: Winner : Chievo

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Chievo = 1.82 (league 1.43), Real Calepina = 0.75 (league 1.20)

Real Calepina
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chievo 0 7.7% 5.7% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 13.9% 10.4% 3.9% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.7% 9.5% 3.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 7.7% 5.8% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 3.5% 2.6% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.3% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 61.9% · Draw 22.2% · Away win 14.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1